Prediction for match Macarthur — Wellington Phoenix

Match Analysis: Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix

On April 24, 2026, Macarthur will face Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. The 1X2 odds are: Macarthur win at 2.01, Wellington Phoenix at 3.32, and a draw at 4.18. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 47.93% for Macarthur's success, 23.05% for a draw, and 29.02% for Wellington Phoenix's victory. According to the odds and percentages, Macarthur is considered the favorite, but the gap with Wellington Phoenix is not significant, indicating a potential competitive and high-scoring match. The total goals market highlights a bet on over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.52, which is the main prediction for this match.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Macarthur averages 44.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Wellington Phoenix shows 48% possession, 1 yellow card, 11.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides on average per match. In their last three games, Macarthur lost to Adelaide United 1-3 (April 19, 2026), lost to Perth Glory 1-3 (April 12, 2026), and defeated Newcastle Jets 3-2 (April 2, 2026). Wellington Phoenix beat Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 (April 18, 2026), lost to Melbourne City 0-2 (April 12, 2026), and won against Melbourne Victory 1-0 (April 5, 2026). The last head-to-head encounter was on November 22, 2025, with Macarthur winning 1-0 at Wellington Phoenix's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Macarthur's recent five-game series shows an average total of 4.2 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.6. Wellington Phoenix averages 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding just 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Macarthur has 5 out of 5, while Wellington Phoenix has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Macarthur and 2 times for Wellington Phoenix. In the second half, Macarthur has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Wellington Phoenix has only 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Macarthur often scores between the 61st-75th minute (36%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 43%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 43%). Wellington Phoenix is most effective in three different periods: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Wellington Phoenix concedes at the end of the first (31-45 minutes - 50%) and second halves (76-90 minutes - 50%). All of this points to a high likelihood of at least three goals in the match, especially considering Macarthur's attacking style and Wellington Phoenix's defensive stability. The main prediction is over 2.75 goals at 1.52.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Macarthur averages 4.4 corners per match, while Wellington Phoenix averages 8.8. In a series of five games, Macarthur had over 9.5 total corners 3 times, and Wellington Phoenix had it 5 out of 5. The total corners line closest to the average combined figure (13.2) is set at over 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.53, under 9.5 at 2.34. Macarthur is favored on corners with odds of 1.53. Considering Wellington Phoenix's high activity and regular over 9.5 totals from both teams, a bet on over 9.5 total corners is logical. Also, Wellington Phoenix's individual corner stats consistently exceed 8 per game, which could influence the overall total.