Prediction for match Machida Zelvia — Chengdu Rongcheng

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the AFC Champions League on 17.02.2026, Machida Zelvia will face Chengdu Rongcheng. According to the bookmakers, Machida Zelvia is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.61, a draw at 4.04, and a win for Chengdu Rongcheng at 5.63. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 59.37% for a Machida Zelvia win, 23.66% for a draw, and 16.98% for a Chengdu Rongcheng win. This reflects the Japanese team's advantage in current form and performance.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Machida Zelvia recorded the following results: 14.02.2026 - Machida Zelvia 6-4 Mito Hollyhock, 10.02.2026 - Shanghai Shenhua 0-2 Machida Zelvia, 06.02.2026 - Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Machida Zelvia. In these games, the team demonstrated good scoring ability and confidence in attack. Over the same period, Chengdu Rongcheng played as follows: 10.02.2026 - Chengdu Rongcheng 0-1 Buriram United, 09.12.2025 - Vissel Kobe 2-2 Chengdu Rongcheng, 25.11.2025 - Chengdu Rongcheng 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Additional metrics show that Machida Zelvia averaged 45% possession, committed 10 fouls, received 0.2 yellow cards, and recorded 1.6 offsides per match. Chengdu Rongcheng had 48.6% possession, 12 fouls, 2.6 yellows, and 1.4 offsides. These figures indicate a more aggressive and foul-prone style of play from the Chinese team, as well as greater discipline from Machida Zelvia.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Machida Zelvia had an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1.2 on average. Chengdu Rongcheng's average total goals per match was 1.8, with 0.8 scored and 1 conceded. For matches with over 2.5 goals, Machida Zelvia had 3 out of 5 games finish with three or more goals, while Chengdu Rongcheng had only 1 out of 5. By halves, Machida Zelvia had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and only 1 in the second half. Chengdu Rongcheng had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Machida Zelvia most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), and most often concedes between the 31-45 minute interval (38%). Chengdu Rongcheng's highest probability of scoring is evenly distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), with conceded goals spread across five intervals (20% each). These data confirm that Machida Zelvia consistently scores and can expect to find the net, while Chengdu Rongcheng struggles in attack. Based on the statistics, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems logical: Machida Zelvia has an over-profile, and Chengdu Rongcheng lacks defensive reliability.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Machida Zelvia averages 4.8 corners per match, Chengdu Rongcheng - 4. In their last five encounters, both teams had 2 out of 5 games with a total of over 9.5 corners. For the corners total line: over 9.5 is priced at 2.09, under 9.5 at 1.74. Based on these metrics, around 9 corners per match can be expected, which corresponds to the teams' average activity in this component. In such a situation, it makes sense to consider cautious bets on corners total closer to 9.5, also noting that neither team is prone to a sharp increase in corner kicks.