Prediction for match Machida Zelvia — FC Tokyo, 09.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the J1 League, Machida Zelvia will face FC Tokyo on November 9, 2025. According to the odds, a victory for Machida Zelvia is at 1.90, a draw is at 3.40, and a win for FC Tokyo is at 4.10. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Machida Zelvia 49.45%, draw 27.63%, FC Tokyo 22.92%. These figures highlight Machida Zelvia as the favorite, though the gap between a draw and an FC Tokyo win is not too large.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Machida Zelvia averages 47% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 2.8 offsides per game. FC Tokyo, on the other hand, averages 56.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Recent results for Machida Zelvia: November 4 - Machida Zelvia vs Melbourne City 1-2; October 25 - Urawa Red Diamonds vs Machida Zelvia 0-0; October 21 - Shanghai Port vs Machida Zelvia 0-2. For FC Tokyo: October 25 - FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama 3-1; October 17 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo 0-0; October 4 - Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo 1-1. In their last head-to-head match on February 22, 2025, FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia ended 0-1, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Machida Zelvia has an average of 1.6 goals per game, while FC Tokyo averages 2.4. In terms of goals scored: Machida Zelvia 0.8, FC Tokyo 1.4. They concede 0.8 and 1 respectively. In their last five games, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3. In the first half, Machida Zelvia had over 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5, while FC Tokyo had none. In the second half, Machida Zelvia had over 1.5 goals 1 out of 5, FC Tokyo 2 out of 5. Machida Zelvia most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (67%), while FC Tokyo also scores most often in this interval (57%). For goals conceded: Machida Zelvia concedes 40% in the first 15 minutes, FC Tokyo concedes 40% between the 46th and 60th minutes and 61st and 75th. Considering Machida Zelvia's low scoring and FC Tokyo's moderate performance, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Machida Zelvia averages 5.6 corners per match, FC Tokyo 4.4. In their last five matches, Machida Zelvia had over 9.5 corners 4 times, while FC Tokyo had it 2 times. The odds for the total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. For corners, Machida Zelvia is the favorite with odds at 1.57. Based on the average statistics of both teams and the frequency of over corner totals, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Machida Zelvia's attacking potential on the flanks.