Prediction for match Machida Zelvia — Nagoya Grampus, 30.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League of Japan on November 30, Machida Zelvia will face Nagoya Grampus. The odds for Machida Zelvia to win are 1.73, a draw is priced at 3.62, while a victory for Nagoya Grampus is valued at 5.17. Probability-wise: Machida Zelvia 55.17%, draw 26.37%, Nagoya Grampus 18.46%. Machida Zelvia appears to be the favorite, but the odds for a draw are also quite low, indicating a potential contest. Current odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.21, and for under 2.5 goals - 1.68. For the both teams to score market: yes is offered at 2.03, no at 1.70. These figures reflect moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the span of 5 games, Machida Zelvia had an average possession of 47%, recorded 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. Nagoya Grampus maintained 46.8% possession, received 1 warning, committed 6.8 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Machida Zelvia's last three matches: 25.11.2025 Gangwon - Machida Zelvia 1-3, 09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - FC Tokyo 0-1, 04.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City 1-2. Nagoya Grampus' last three encounters: 08.11.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1-0, 25.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0-2, 18.10.2025 Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 02.03.2025, Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia 1-2, the over 2.5 goals bet was successful.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Machida Zelvia averaged a total of 2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. Nagoya Grampus averaged 2.8 total goals, with 0.8 scored and 2 conceded. The over 2.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for Machida Zelvia, and 3 out of 5 for Nagoya Grampus. By halves, Machida Zelvia had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 of 5 matches, but never in the second half. Nagoya Grampus had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5. Regarding goal intervals, Machida Zelvia most frequently scored in the 16-30 and 46-60 minute intervals (50% each), while conceding in the 16-30 (38%). For Nagoya Grampus, the most frequent scoring interval was 31-45 minutes (40%), and conceding was 76-90 (56%). Overall, both teams have certain peaks of activity, but Machida Zelvia's defense looks more reliable. Nagoya Grampus scores few goals on average, and Machida Zelvia concedes rarely. A bet on both teams to score: no at 1.70 seems logical given the dynamics and average scoring of the teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In a five-match series, Machida Zelvia earned 7.2 corners per game, Nagoya Grampus - 5.2. Machida Zelvia's over 9.5 corners occurred 4 out of 5 times, Nagoya Grampus - 3 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the closest to the average sum (12.4) is the 11.5 option: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.74, under 11.5 at 1.19. For corner outcomes, Machida Zelvia is the favorite with odds of 1.36. Based on statistics, it's logical to consider a bet on Machida Zelvia's individual corner total over 7.5 or overall total over 9.5, given the frequency in recent matches.