Prediction for match Malaga — AD Ceuta FC, 11.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The match between Malaga and AD Ceuta in the Segunda tournament will take place on January 11, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Malaga is the favorite with odds of 2.15, a draw is priced at 3.42, and a win for AD Ceuta is at 3.52. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 44.65% for Malaga's success, 28.07% for a draw, and 27.27% for AD Ceuta's victory. The betting line also includes working odds on total goals, both teams to score, and individual team performances, allowing for various betting options on this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 games, Malaga has shown a strong series: on January 3, they defeated Sporting Gijón 3-1, won against Almeria 2-1 on December 21, and beat Albacete 3-1 on December 14. There were also two draws: 1-1 with Real Zaragoza on December 8 and 1-1 with Real Valladolid on November 29. AD Ceuta has also been stable in their last five matches: a 2-1 victory over FC Andorra on January 4, a 3-1 win against Real Sociedad II on December 21, a 1-1 draw with Las Palmas on December 14, a 1-1 draw with Granada on December 7, and a narrow 1-0 win over Burgos on November 29. On average, Malaga holds 46.6% possession over the five-match span, records 3.2 warnings, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. AD Ceuta has 45.6% possession, 3.2 cards, 15.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. These stats indicate a relatively equal level of discipline and midfield battle.

Goal Scoring Streaks

In their last five matches, Malaga averages 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, with a total of 3. AD Ceuta's averages are 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with a total of 2.4. For over 2.5 total goals, Malaga has 3 out of 5, AD Ceuta has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Malaga had no over 1.5 total goals, while AD Ceuta had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded 3 out of 5 over 1.5. For goal timing, Malaga scores most frequently between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while AD Ceuta scores most often between the 16-30 minute interval (50%). Malaga concedes most frequently between the 46-60 minute interval (44%), AD Ceuta between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each). These data suggest both teams are capable of scoring, especially in the second half, with Malaga appearing slightly more prolific. Considering the average scoring of both sides and frequent over 2.0 totals, a bet on over 2.0 total goals at 1.53 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Malaga earns 4.2 corners per game, AD Ceuta 4.6, totaling 8.8. In the last five matches, Malaga had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 total corners, AD Ceuta had 2 out of 5. Among the presented totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.78, under 8.5 at 1.90. In terms of corner outcome, Malaga has the edge with odds of 1.65. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, considering a bet on over 8.5 total corners is a viable option for this match.