Prediction for match Mallorca — Athletic Club, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In La Liga on January 17th, Mallorca will face Athletic Club. The odds for Athletic Club to win are 2.33, a draw is at 3.13, and a win for Mallorca is priced at 3.76. Probability-wise: there's a 42.30% chance for an Athletic Club victory, 31.49% for a draw, and 26.21% for Mallorca. Thus, Athletic Club is favored according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap is not huge, adding some intrigue to the balance of power. For comparison, the over 2.5 goals market is at 2.54, both teams to score: yes - at 2.03, no - at 1.72. The most likely outcome according to the odds and probabilities is an Athletic Club win, although a draw is also highly rated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mallorca has an average possession of 44.8%, with yellow cards at 2.6, fouls at 11, and offsides at 1.8. Athletic Club, over the same period, has possession at 46.2%, yellow cards at 2.8, fouls at 10.6, and offsides at 1.2. In their last three matches, Mallorca played as follows: January 11th, Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca, January 4th, Mallorca 1-2 Girona, December 19th, Valencia 1-1 Mallorca. Athletic Club's last three games were: January 13th, Cultural Leonesa 3-4 Athletic Club, January 7th, Barcelona 5-0 Athletic Club, January 3rd, Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club. In their last head-to-head on October 4, 2025, Athletic Club defeated Mallorca 2-1.

Which Total to Bet On?

In a five-match series, Mallorca's average total goals per match is 2.6, while Athletic Club's is 3.6. In terms of goals scored: Mallorca - 1.2, Athletic Club - 1.4, goals conceded: Mallorca - 1.4, Athletic Club - 2.2. For over 2.5 goals in 5 games: both teams hit this 3 out of 5 times. By halves: Mallorca had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, and in the second half also 2 times. Athletic Club had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, but none in the second half. For goal intervals: Mallorca scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes between 16-30 (80%). Athletic Club scores most often between 31-45 (50%), and concedes also between 31-45 (50%). Considering both teams' average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 goals, and high goal averages, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.81 seems logical for this match.

Corners in the Match

Mallorca averages 3.2 corners per game, while Athletic Club averages 7.8. For over 9.5 corners: Mallorca achieved this 2 out of 5 times, Athletic Club 5 out of 5 times. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is at 1.96, under 9.5 at 1.75. For corner outcomes, Athletic Club is favored with odds of 1.49. Given Athletic Club's high corner average and frequent over 9.5 corner outcomes in their matches, betting on the higher corner total seems justified.