Prediction for match Malta — Poland

Who is the favorite in the Malta vs Poland match?

As part of the European World Cup qualifiers, Malta will face Poland on November 17, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, Poland is the clear favorite: the odds for an away win are 1.22, for a draw - 5.50, and for a Malta win - 12.00. The probability of a Poland victory is estimated at 75.56%, a draw at 16.76%, and a Malta win at 7.68%. This makes Poland the undisputed favorite for this match.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Malta has averaged 40.8% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 16 fouls, and been caught offside once per game. Poland has shown 43% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Malta's last three matches: 14.11 Finland - Malta 0-1, 09.10 Malta - Netherlands 0-4, 04.09 Lithuania - Malta 1-1. Poland's: 14.11 Poland - Netherlands 1-1, 12.10 Lithuania - Poland 0-2, 07.09 Poland - Finland 3-1. In their head-to-head on 24.03, Poland defeated Malta 2-0, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How many goals to expect?

In their last five games, Malta played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Poland had the same record - 2 out of 5 over 2.5 goals. By halves, Malta had over 1.5 goals in the first half once out of five and over 1.5 in the second half three out of five times. Poland had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and in the second half twice out of five. Average figures over 5 games: Malta scores 0.4 and concedes 2.6, Poland scores 1.6 and concedes 1. By intervals: Malta most often scores from the 76th to the 90th minute (44%) and concedes in this period as well (50%). Poland most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 61st and 90th minutes (33% in each of the last two quarters). Given Malta's low scoring rate and Poland's strong defense (conceding 1 on average), betting on both teams not to score seems logical.

Corner statistics

Over 5 matches, Malta averages 1.6 corners, Poland - 5.2. The frequency of total corners over 9.5: Malta 1 out of 5, Poland 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 2.10, under 9.5 - 1.67. Poland is favored in corners with odds of 1.17. Based on average figures, betting on Poland's individual total corners over 6.5 at 2.00 looks justified, considering their average delivery level and the opponent's total frequency.