Prediction for match Manchester City — Borussia Dortmund, 05.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the UEFA Champions League on November 5th, Manchester City will face Borussia Dortmund. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Manchester City is at 1.42, a draw is priced at 5.00, and a victory for Borussia Dortmund is at 6.50. The percentage chances are 66.56% for a Manchester City win, 18.90% for a draw, and 14.54% for a Borussia Dortmund win. This setup highlights Manchester City as the favorite according to probability estimates. For additional outcomes, both teams to score: yes is at 1.57, no is at 2.25, and over 2.5 goals is at 1.44. This indicates that analysts expect a high-scoring match with a significant advantage for Manchester City.

Team Streaks

In their last five matches, Manchester City has shown high ball possession (63%) and averages 1.8 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Borussia Dortmund, over their last five matches, maintains possession at 55.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside per match. In their last three matches, Manchester City: 3-1 against Bournemouth (02.11.2025), 3-1 against Swansea City (29.10.2025), 1-0 against Aston Villa (26.10.2025). Borussia Dortmund: 1-0 against Augsburg (31.10.2025), 5-3 against Eintracht Frankfurt (28.10.2025), 1-0 against Köln (25.10.2025). In the head-to-head on October 25, 2022, Borussia Dortmund and Manchester City played to a 0-0 draw, which corresponds to under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund

The average number of goals in the last five matches for both Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund is the same - 2.6 per game. Manchester City scores 2 goals and concedes 0.6, while Borussia Dortmund scores 1.6 and concedes 1. Both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. In the first half, Manchester City had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Borussia Dortmund had it in 1 out of 5; in the second half, both teams had over 1.5 in 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Manchester City most frequently scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), while Borussia Dortmund scores most often between 76-90 minutes (50%). Manchester City concedes most often between 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Borussia Dortmund concedes most often in the 76-90 minute (43%). Considering both teams' average scoring and tendency for late goals, it's logical to consider a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.57. Both teams are capable of scoring, which is supported by their average scoring and goal distribution across halves.

Analysis of Total Corners

Manchester City averages 7.4 corners over 5 matches, while Borussia Dortmund averages 7.2. For over 9.5 corners, Manchester City had 4 out of 5 matches, and Borussia Dortmund had 2 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.95 and for under 1.85. Manchester City is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.44. For individual totals, Manchester City over 5.5 is at 1.80, and Borussia Dortmund over 3.5 is at 1.83. Given these averages and the frequency of occurrence, it's logical to highlight a bet on over 9.5 total corners, considering both teams' attacking style and high corner counts in recent matches.