Prediction for match Manchester City — Brighton, 07.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcomes

In the match between Manchester City and Brighton, scheduled for January 7, 2026, in the English Premier League, bookmakers clearly favor Manchester City as the favorite. The odds for Manchester City to win are set at 1.43, a draw is at 5.33, and Brighton's victory is at 7.70. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 68.78% for a Manchester City win, 18.45% for a draw, and 12.77% for a Brighton win. These figures reflect a significant advantage for Manchester City according to bookmakers' expectations. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the battle for initiative, considering Manchester City's high ball possession and Brighton's stable performance in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Manchester City has demonstrated solid ball possession at 63.6%, averaging 1.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Brighton's ball possession is at 54.8%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Manchester City played as follows: January 4 - Manchester City vs Chelsea 1-1, January 1 - Sunderland vs Manchester City 0-0, December 27 - Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City 1-2. Brighton's last three matches were: January 3 - Brighton vs Burnley 2-0, December 30 - West Ham vs Brighton 2-2, December 27 - Arsenal vs Brighton 2-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 31, 2025, Brighton was stronger than Manchester City with a 2-1 victory.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Manchester City averages 1.6 goals per game, concedes 0.4, with a total goal average of exactly 2. Brighton's average total goals are slightly higher at 2.2, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.2. Both teams have the same record of over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for each team, similarly in the second half - 1 out of 5. Manchester City most frequently scores between the 31st-45th minutes (43%), and concedes towards the end - 76th-90th minutes (67%). Brighton most often scores in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (38% each), and concedes in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (50% each). Based on this data, the match does not promise high scoring, and under 3.5 goals seems a logical choice, considering both teams' average performances and the frequency of under 2.5 goals. The odds for under 3.5 total goals are 1.81.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Manchester City averages 5.8 corners per match, Brighton - 3.2, totaling 9. For over 9.5 corners, Manchester City has 2 out of 5, Brighton 1 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.68, under 9.5 is at 2.11. For the corner outcome, Manchester City is the favorite with odds of 1.23. Considering both teams' average corner activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but the frequency suggests moderate probability. An individual bet on Manchester City's total corners could also be considered, given their stable average around 6 per game.