Prediction for match Manchester City — Exeter City, 10.01.2026

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Exeter City

On January 10, 2026, Manchester City will face Exeter City in the FA Cup. The odds clearly favor Manchester City: their win is priced at 1.05, a draw at 12.70, and an Exeter City victory at 26.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 89.04% for a Manchester City win, 7.36% for a draw, and 3.60% for an Exeter City win. This setup indicates a nearly one-sided expectation in favor of Manchester City, which is also supported by the current form of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Manchester City has maintained 63.6% possession, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Exeter City, over the same period, has shown 47.4% possession, with 1.8 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Manchester City played as follows: January 7 - Manchester City vs Brighton - 1-1, January 4 - Manchester City vs Chelsea - 1-1, January 1 - Sunderland vs Manchester City - 0-0. Exeter City's last three matches were: January 4 - Huddersfield Town vs Exeter City - 2-2, January 1 - Exeter City vs Luton Town - 1-0, December 29 - AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City - 0-1. Both teams demonstrated defensive stability and moderate discipline in these matches, as reflected in the number of yellow cards and fouls.

Goals According to Match Statistics

Over the past 5 games, both teams have an average total goals of 2, with an average of 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, both Manchester City and Exeter City have the same record: 2 out of 5 over, 3 out of 5 under. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once out of 5 for both teams, and the same goes for the second half - only once out of 5 over 1.5. Manchester City most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Exeter City scores in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (each 29%). For goals conceded, Manchester City stands out in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals (each 50%), while Exeter City is noted in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (each 33%). Overall, both teams show restrained scoring, and the frequency of over 2.5 goals is not dominant. Considering the average totals, half-time scores, and goal balance, betting on under 3.5 goals at 2.54 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Manchester City averages 6 corners per game, Exeter City 5.2. In their last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages (11.2) is 11.5, with odds of: over 11.5 - 2.50, under 11.5 - 4.25. Manchester City is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.01. Expecting a high number of corners is quite justified, given the average figures of both teams and their style of play. It's also worth noting that both teams are not prone to frequent offsides - 1.4 per match, which may further influence the number of attacking actions and, consequently, corners.