Prediction for match Manchester City — Leeds, 29.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League clash between Manchester City and Leeds on November 29, 2025, bookmakers have made Manchester City the clear favorites. The odds for a Manchester City win are 1.28, with a probability of 76.88%. A draw is priced at 6.35 with a 15.50% chance, while a Leeds victory is at 12.90 with a 7.63% probability. These odds reflect not only the difference in class between the teams but also their recent performances. In their recent head-to-head encounters, Manchester City has consistently come out on top against Leeds, influencing current expectations.

Team Statistics and Scores

Over the last five matches, Manchester City has averaged 53.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Leeds, in comparison, has 52.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Manchester City recorded: November 25, 2025, Manchester City vs Bayer 0-2, November 22, 2025, Newcastle vs Manchester City 2-1, November 9, 2025, Manchester City vs Liverpool 3-0. For Leeds: November 23, 2025, Leeds vs Aston Villa 1-2, November 9, 2025, Nottingham Forest vs Leeds 3-1, November 1, 2025, Brighton vs Leeds 3-0. Their last head-to-head meeting was on May 6, 2023: Manchester City vs Leeds 2-1, with over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, the over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times for both teams. Manchester City averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Leeds scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2. On average, Manchester City matches feature 3.4 goals, while Leeds matches have 3. By halves, Manchester City had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Leeds had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5. Manchester City most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (31%), while Leeds scores most often in the first 15 minutes (45%). Manchester City is most vulnerable to conceding between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each), while Leeds has four intervals of vulnerability at 25% each: 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90. The data on totals and average goal scoring suggests a logical bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.50, considering Manchester City's attacking prowess and the high frequency of this outcome in recent matches for both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last 5 games, Manchester City averages 7.6 corners, while Leeds averages 4.4. Manchester City had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, while Leeds had it in 2 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the closest to the average sum (12) is the total of 11. The offered bets are: over 11 corners at 2.35, under 11 at 1.55. Manchester City is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.21. A bet on higher corner totals seems logical, given Manchester City's consistent activity and frequent over 9.5 corners in their matches.