Prediction for match Manchester City — Newcastle, 21.02.2026

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Newcastle

The Premier League clash between Manchester City and Newcastle is scheduled for 21.02.2026. Betting odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Manchester City is at 1.50, a draw is at 5.39, and a win for Newcastle is at 6.05. In terms of probability percentages: Manchester City - 65.52%, draw - 18.23%, Newcastle - 16.24%. Manchester City is considered the favorite, as indicated by the low odds for their victory and significant probability advantage. Newcastle is seen as the underdog, and the draw is rated relatively high. The match promises to be high-scoring, considering both teams' attacking profiles this season.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Manchester City boasts a high ball possession rate of 62.6%, averages 2.6 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 2.6 offsides per game. Newcastle lags in possession (50.6%), receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Recent matches for Manchester City: 14.02.2026 - Manchester City vs Salford City 2-0, 11.02.2026 - Manchester City vs Fulham 3-0, 08.02.2026 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 1-2. For Newcastle: 18.02.2026 - Qarabag vs Newcastle 1-6, 14.02.2026 - Aston Villa vs Newcastle 1-3, 10.02.2026 - Tottenham vs Newcastle 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 04.02.2026, Manchester City defeated Newcastle 3-1.

Goals by Match Statistics

Both teams approach the match with a strong over-profile in goals. Manchester City had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of their last 5 matches, Newcastle in all 5. By halves, Manchester City had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and twice in the second half. Newcastle had at least two goals in the first half three out of five times, and four out of five in the second half. The average total goals in Manchester City's last five games is 3.2, while Newcastle's is 4.6. Manchester City scores 2.4 and concedes 0.8, Newcastle scores 2.8 and concedes 1.8. Goal intervals: Manchester City most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (27%) and concedes late (76-90, 40%). Newcastle scores most often in the first 30 minutes (25% in two intervals) and concedes at the end of the first half (31-45, 40%). This goal profile for both teams suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring. The odds for both teams to score: yes is at 1.53, no is at 2.37. A bet on both teams to score: yes appears logical, given the attacking strength of both sides and the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals.

Corners in the Match

On average, Manchester City earns 4.8 corners per game, Newcastle 7.2. Over the last five matches, Manchester City had over 9.5 corners only once, while Newcastle had it four times out of five. The line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at 1.50, under 9.5 at 2.40. Manchester City is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.37. Considering Newcastle's high average for corners and Manchester City's consistency, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems justified. Additionally, betting on Manchester City to win the corner count is worth considering given their favorite status and stable corner performance.