Prediction for match Manchester City — Southampton

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Southampton

On April 25, 2026, Manchester City will face Southampton in the FA Cup. The 1X2 odds clearly favor Manchester City as the favorite: their win is priced at 1.24, a draw at 7.21, and a Southampton victory at 13.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Manchester City win - 79.29%, draw - 13.64%, Southampton win - 7.07%. The odds for over 3.0 total goals are 1.59, both teams to score: yes - 1.90, no - 1.82. For individual team totals, Manchester City over 2.5 goals is at 1.78, and Southampton over 0.5 goals is at 1.85. First half total goals options: over 1.5 - 2.12, under 1.5 - 1.75. Second half total goals options: over 1.5 - 1.63, under 1.5 - 2.27. Correct score options include: 2-0 at 7.00, 3-0 at 7.50, 2-1 at 8.50, 3-1 at 9.00, 1-0 at 9.50, and 4-0 at 11.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Manchester City secured victories: on 22.04.2026 Burnley - Manchester City 0-1, on 19.04.2026 Manchester City - Arsenal 2-1, on 12.04.2026 Chelsea - Manchester City 0-3. Southampton's last three results: on 21.04.2026 Southampton - Bristol City 2-2, on 18.04.2026 Swansea City - Southampton 1-2, on 14.04.2026 Southampton - Blackburn Rovers 3-0. Over the last five matches, Manchester City has an average possession of 61.8%, while Southampton has 55.6%. Manchester City averages 1 yellow card, 9.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game, whereas Southampton averages 1.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 10.05.2025, Southampton and Manchester City played to a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Manchester City vs Southampton

In the last five matches, Manchester City's over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, while Southampton's occurred in all 5. Manchester City averages 2.4 goals scored, while Southampton averages 2.8, with Manchester City conceding only 0.2 and Southampton 1. On average, Manchester City has 2.6 goals per match, and Southampton has 3.8. By halves, Manchester City scored over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, while Southampton did so three times. In the second half, Manchester City surpassed 1.5 goals three times, and Southampton four times. Manchester City most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%) and the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Southampton scores most between the 16th and 30th (33%) and the 61st and 75th minutes (33%). Manchester City most often concedes between the 46th and 75th minutes (38%), while Southampton concedes most between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, the frequent occurrence of over 2.5 goals, and the average number of goals, it is logical to expect at least three goals in the match. Prediction - over 3.0 total goals at 1.59.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Manchester City averages 7.6 corners per game, while Southampton averages 7. In the last five matches, Manchester City surpassed 9.5 total corners three times, while Southampton did so twice. The total corners market is closest to the average sum at 14.5, but there is a line at 9.5: over 9.5 total corners - 1.55, under 9.5 - 2.35. Manchester City is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.11. Considering the average corner activity of both teams, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems justified. Also, consider Manchester City's individual corners total over 6.5 at 1.57 and Southampton's over 2.5 at 1.62.