Prediction for match Mantova — Bari, 07.02.2026

Match Analysis Mantova - Bari

In the Italian Serie B, Mantova will face Bari on February 7. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Mantova is priced at 2.17, a draw at 2.93, and a victory for Bari at 3.76. In terms of probabilities, Mantova has 43.15%, a draw 31.95%, and Bari 24.90%. The most likely outcome according to the odds and percentages is a win for Mantova, although the gap between the teams isn't that large. Among the goal totals, the line for over 2.0 goals at 1.51 stands out as the main prediction for the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mantova has an average possession of 48.2%, 2.6 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Bari's averages are: possession 47.6%, 2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. Mantova's last three matches: 31.01.2026 Pescara - Mantova 2-2, 24.01.2026 Mantova - Venezia 2-5, 17.01.2026 Padova - Mantova 1-2. Bari's: 30.01.2026 Bari - Palermo 0-3, 24.01.2026 Cesena - Bari 1-2, 17.01.2026 Bari - Juve Stabia 0-1. In their head-to-head on 26.10.2025, Bari - Mantova ended 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last 5 matches, Mantova shows an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. Bari has a lower scoring rate: 2 goals on average per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Mantova has 3 out of 5, Bari 2 out of 5. By halves, Mantova had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Bari also had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 out of 5, but none in the first half. In terms of goal intervals, Mantova most often scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and Bari between 46-60 minutes (100%). Mantova's conceded goals are spread across four intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75 (20% each), while Bari most often concedes in the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 intervals (29% each). These figures suggest the match could be high-scoring, especially in the second half. The main prediction is over 2.0 goals at 1.51.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Mantova averages 3.8 corners per game, Bari 3. In the last 5 matches, Mantova had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Bari 4 out of 5. Among the corner total lines, over 9.5 at 1.93 and under 9.5 at 1.72 stand out. Mantova is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.61. Considering the average number of corners for both teams and the frequency of overs, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as Mantova's advantage in corner count.