Prediction for match Mantova — Carrarese

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on March 1st, Mantova will face Carrarese. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.56 for a Mantova win, 2.90 for a draw, and 3.02 for a Carrarese victory. The estimated probabilities are: Mantova - 36.62%, draw - 32.33%, Carrarese - 31.05%. Mantova is the slight favorite according to the odds and percentages, reflecting caution in assessments and the teams' closely matched strengths.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Mantova had an average possession of 57%, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Carrarese, over the same period, held possession 50.4% of the time, with 2.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Mantova's last three matches were: February 21, 2026, Mantova vs Sampdoria 2-1, February 14, 2026, Catanzaro vs Mantova 2-0, February 10, 2026, Reggiana vs Mantova 1-0. Carrarese's last three matches were: February 21, 2026, Carrarese vs Monza 0-1, February 14, 2026, Modena vs Carrarese 2-0, February 10, 2026, Padova vs Carrarese 1-0. The last head-to-head match was on December 27, 2025: Carrarese vs Mantova 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five games, Mantova averaged 2.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 on average. Carrarese had 1.4 goals per match on average, scoring only 0.2 and conceding 1.2. In the last five games, Mantova had over 2.5 total goals in three matches and under in two. Carrarese had over 2.5 total goals in just one match and under in four. By halves, Mantova had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and under twice, with over 1.5 goals in the second half twice. Carrarese never had over 1.5 goals in the first half and only once in the second half. Mantova most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes most often from the 16th to the 30th minute (50%). Carrarese scores most frequently between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each) and concedes exclusively between the 46th-60th minute (100%). These stats confirm Carrarese's low scoring and Mantova's moderate activity. Given Carrarese's very low scoring rate (0.2) and only one match with over 2.5 total goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this outcome are 1.79.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over a five-match series, Mantova averages 6.6 corners, while Carrarese averages 5.8. In the last five matches, Mantova had over 9.5 total corners three times, and Carrarese four times. Among the odds for total corners, the line closest to the average sum (12.4) is over 11.5 at 3.28 and under 11.5 at 1.25. For corner outcomes, Mantova is the favorite with odds of 1.61. Considering both teams often have a high number of corners, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 total corners or individual corner totals for Mantova.