Prediction for match Mantova — Empoli

Match Analysis: Mantova vs Empoli

In Italy's Serie B on December 21, Mantova will face Empoli. The odds for the main outcomes are almost identical: Mantova's win is at 2.68, Empoli's success at 2.69, and a draw at 3.05. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Mantova 34.78%, Empoli 34.65%, draw 30.56%. There is no clear favorite, as bookmakers rate the chances of both teams almost equally. For the total goals, the line stands at over 2.5 goals at 2.05 and under 2.5 goals at 1.74, indicating an expectation of moderate scoring. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.76, no at 1.96. For total goals over 2.0, the odds are 1.51, and for under 2.25, it's 1.93. Individual total options: Mantova over 1 goal at 1.65, Empoli over 1 goal at 1.67. Double chance options: 1X at 1.43, X2 at 1.44, 12 at 1.35. For half-time totals: the second half over 1.5 goals is at 2.21, under 1.5 goals at 1.62. Overall, the line suggests a closely contested match with no significant skew towards either side.

Team Results and Statistics

In a series of their last five matches, Mantova shows 58.6% ball possession, averages 2 yellow cards, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Empoli, over the same period, has 45.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 16.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three matches, Mantova played as follows: lost 2-3 to Cesena on December 13, lost 0-1 to Reggiana on December 8, and lost 0-3 to Venezia on November 29. Empoli in their last three matches: lost 0-2 to Juve Stabia on December 13, lost 1-3 to Palermo on December 7, and defeated Bari 5-0 on November 29. In a five-match series, Mantova also had victories against Spezia 4-1 and Padova 1-0, while Empoli had successes against Avellino 3-0 and Catanzaro 1-0. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show an average total of 3 goals per game over a five-match stretch. Mantova scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6, while Empoli scores 2 and concedes 1. Both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches and under in 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Mantova has 2 out of 5, and Empoli also 2 out of 5. In the second half, Mantova went over 1.5 in 3 out of 5 matches, Empoli in 2 out of 5. Mantova most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (36% each), and concedes most often between the 16th-30th minutes (50%). Empoli most frequently scores between the 61st-75th minutes (33%) and concedes also in the 16th-30th minute range (33%). Considering the average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 goals, and both teams' second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 seems justified: both sides regularly participate in high-scoring matches, with Empoli standing out even against their opponent in terms of goals scored.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last 5 matches, Mantova averaged 5.4 corners, while Empoli averaged 4.4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Mantova had 2 out of 5, and Empoli 3 out of 5. The line for corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.77. For the outcome on corners, Mantova is the favorite with odds of 1.98. Combined, both teams average 9.8 corners per game, which is close to the set total. Considering the average figures and frequency of overs for both sides, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.