Prediction for match Mantova — Padova, 08.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Serie B match between Mantova and Padova is scheduled for November 8. The odds for the main outcome are as follows: Mantova's victory is priced at 2.25, a draw is offered at 3.20, and Padova's win is valued at 3.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Mantova win - 41.75%, draw - 29.35%, Padova win - 28.90%. Mantova is slightly favored according to the odds, but the difference between the teams is not significant. This suggests that bookmakers expect a closely contested match where any result is possible.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the statistics from the last five games, Mantova has an average possession of 66.6%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 16 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. Padova holds the ball 50% of the time, gets 3.2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is offside 1.4 times. In their last five matches, Mantova's results were: November 2, Sampdoria - Mantova 0-1, October 29, Mantova - Catanzaro 1-3, October 26, Bari - Mantova 1-0. For Padova: November 1, Padova - Südtirol 1-1, October 29, Spezia - Padova 1-1, October 26, Padova - Juve Stabia 2-2. Both teams have been picking up and dropping points, indicating a balance of power. Notably, Mantova has high possession, while Padova receives more yellow cards and slightly fewer fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Mantova's scoring rate over the last five matches is low: only 1 out of 5 games went over 2.5 goals, and the other four recorded low scores. Padova is slightly more active: 2 out of 5 went over 2.5. By halves, Mantova had no games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Padova had 2 games with over 1.5 goals in both halves. On average, Mantova scores 1.6 goals per match, conceding 1, while Padova averages 2.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding the same. In terms of intervals, Mantova most often scores between 46-60 minutes (67%) and concedes late in the game - 61-75 and 76-90 (40% each). Padova frequently scores during 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 (50%). Given Mantova's low scoring rate, Padova's moderate activity, and frequent under 2.5 results for both teams, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems most logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Mantova averages 5.8 corners per game, while Padova averages 3.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Mantova has 3 out of 5 games over, and Padova has 2 out of 5. The odds for the total corners are over 8.5 at 1.82 and under 8.5 at 1.98. Mantova is the favorite to win the corner count with odds of 1.80. Considering Mantova's significantly higher number of corners and frequent high totals, it would be logical to consider a bet on Mantova's individual corners over 4.5 or the total over 8.5 as an additional option.