Prediction for match Mantova — Spezia, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Mantova vs Spezia

The Serie B clash between Mantova and Spezia is scheduled for November 23, 2025. The odds for Spezia to win are 2.64 with a probability of 35.36%, while Mantova's victory is valued at 2.75 (33.94%), and a draw is priced at 3.04 (30.70%). The gap between the chances is minimal, with neither side being a clear favorite. The bookmakers' expectations reflect a balance of power, with a noticeable share of probability for a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mantova has an average possession of 67.6%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Spezia averages 44.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their recent games, Mantova defeated Padova 1-0 (08.11), won against Sampdoria 1-0 (02.11), and lost to Catanzaro 1-3 (29.10). Spezia drew with Bari 1-1 (07.11), lost to Monza 0-1 (02.11), and drew with Padova 1-1 (29.10). In their last head-to-head encounter on April 13, 2025, the teams drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals being surpassed. A previous match on December 26 also ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Mantova's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred once, under 2.5 goals happened four times. For Spezia, over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under three times. The average figures over this period: Mantova - 1.8 goals per game, Spezia - 2.4. In terms of goals scored: Mantova 0.8, Spezia 1.4. In the first half, Mantova had no over 1.5 goals, while Spezia had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5. Mantova most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (50%), and concedes between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Spezia's goal distribution is more even: 25% in each of the four intervals of the first hour, and they most often concede in the final minutes (76th-90th, 38%). Considering the low rate of over 2.5 goals and average goals scored, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Mantova averages 5.6 corners per game, while Spezia averages 4. Over their last five matches, Mantova exceeded 9.5 corners twice, and Spezia three times. The line for over 8 corners is priced at 1.52, under 8 at 2.43. Spezia is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 2.09. Based on the teams' average figures and the frequency of exceeding 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8 corners seems reasonable for this match.