Prediction for match Marseille — Atalanta, 05.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 5th, in the UEFA Champions League, Marseille will face Atalanta. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Marseille win is priced at 2.10, a draw is at 3.80, and an Atalanta win is at 3.25. In terms of probability: Marseille has a 45.48% chance, a draw is at 25.13%, and Atalanta is at 29.39%. Marseille is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams isn't overwhelming, and both have good chances for success.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Marseille averages 60% ball possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Atalanta slightly trails in possession (59.2%) but commits fewer fouls (9.2), collects 2.4 yellows, and is caught offside more often (2.6). Marseille's last three matches: 01.11.2025 Auxerre - Marseille 0-1, 29.10.2025 Marseille - Angers 2-2, 25.10.2025 Lens - Marseille 2-1. Atalanta's: 01.11.2025 Udinese - Atalanta 1-0, 28.10.2025 Atalanta - Milan 1-1, 25.10.2025 Cremonese - Atalanta 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 09.05.2024 Atalanta - Marseille 3-0, the total over 2.5 goals was achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Marseille has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, while Atalanta has none. In the first half, Marseille exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Atalanta only once. In the second half, Marseille went over 1.5 goals three times, Atalanta once. On average, Marseille scores 2.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6, while Atalanta scores 0.4 and concedes 0.6. Marseille frequently scores between the 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and Atalanta between 31-45 minutes (67%). Marseille concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (57%), Atalanta between 0-15 and 76-90 (50% each). Given Marseille's attacking potential and timing stats, despite Atalanta's low scoring, a bet on both teams to score at odds of 1.53 seems logical.

Betting on Corners

Marseille averages 3 corners over five games, while Atalanta averages significantly higher at 7.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Marseille 1 out of 5, Atalanta 2 out of 5. The total corners over 8.5 is at 1.80, under 8.5 at 2.00. Marseille is the favorite for corners at odds of 1.80. Given the difference in average corners but considering the low frequency of over 9.5, a bet on Atalanta's individual corners total seems justified, while caution is advised for a total over 8.5.