Prediction for match Marseille — Lens, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On January 24th in Ligue 1, Marseille will face Lens, and according to the bookmakers, Marseille has the upper hand: their victory is priced at 2.06 with a probability of 47.77%. A draw is set at odds of 3.84, corresponding to 25.63%, while a Lens win is valued at 3.70 and 26.60%. The over/under line and both teams to score are also intriguing, as both teams have shown high scoring ability in recent matches. Bets on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score seem logical, given the attacking style of both sides. The match is expected to be an active affair focused on attack, as reflected in the odds distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Marseille lost 0-3 to Liverpool on January 21st, defeated Angers 5-2 on January 17th, and crushed Bayeux 9-0 on January 13th. Over the same period, Lens secured victories over Auxerre 1-0 (January 17th), Sochaux 3-0 (January 11th), and Toulouse 3-0 (January 2nd). In a five-match series, Marseille averages 60.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Lens averages 60.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on October 25th, 2025, Lens defeated Marseille 2-1. These figures show that both teams can control the ball and aren't afraid to play tough, while Lens has shown defensive solidity in recent matches.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Marseille shows an average total of 5 goals per match, scoring 3.2 per game and conceding 1.8. Lens averages 2.6 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding just 0.2. Marseille has hit over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches, Lens in 3 of 5. Marseille had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, Lens once. In the second half, Marseille was prolific: over 1.5 goals occurred 4 times out of 5, Lens 3 out of 5. Marseille most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Lens scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). Both concede most in the late stages: Marseille 38% from 76-90, Lens 71%. This data suggests it could be a high-scoring match, and both teams scoring is very likely. The bet on both teams to score is priced at 1.53 and seems justified, given both teams' attacking form and regular over 2.5 goals. It's also worth noting that Lens has a very reliable defense in recent matches, but Marseille's attacking potential can challenge even such a defense.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Marseille earns an average of 6.4 corners per game, Lens 5.4. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred twice for both teams. Looking at the line, for a total of 11 corners, the options are: over 11 at 3.14, under 11 at 1.31. Marseille is the favorite for the corners outcome with odds of 1.57. Considering both teams' average activity with flank deliveries and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, options closer to 11 corners are logical. Also, individual stats show Marseille consistently delivers over 6 corners, while Lens stays around 5. In this situation, betting on over 10 corners seems justified, especially if teams actively attack in the second half.