Prediction for match Marseille — Liverpool, 21.01.2026

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Liverpool

In the Champions League on January 21, Marseille will face Liverpool. The odds for a Liverpool win are 2.01, for Marseille - 3.72, and for a draw - 4.00. The probability of outcomes is as follows: Liverpool is estimated at 48.95%, Marseille at 26.45%, and a draw at 24.60%. Liverpool is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but Marseille has been showing high scoring ability in recent matches, which adds intrigue to this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Marseille recorded the following results: a 5-2 win against Angers on January 17, a 9-0 thrashing of Bayeux on January 13, and a 3-6 loss to PSG on January 8. Liverpool drew 1-1 with Burnley on January 17, won 4-1 against Barnsley on January 12, and played a goalless draw with Arsenal on January 8. In terms of possession, Marseille averages 62.8%, and Liverpool 65.4%. Marseille averages 1.6 yellow cards per match, while Liverpool averages 1. For fouls, Marseille commits 12.2, and Liverpool 7.4. Offsides: Marseille averages 2, and Liverpool 2.4 per game. These figures show that both teams control the ball well and rarely commit fouls, while also creating chances at the opponent's goal.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Marseille vs Liverpool

In a five-match series, Marseille averages a total of 5.6 goals, scoring 4.4 and conceding 1.2. Liverpool's matches average 2.2 goals, with them scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 total goals: Marseille has 4 out of 5, Liverpool 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams have 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half: Marseille 4 out of 5, Liverpool 2 out of 5. Marseille most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Liverpool scores most often in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 (38% each). Marseille most frequently concedes at the end (76-90, 38%), while Liverpool distributes their conceded goals across four intervals, 25% in each. Considering Marseille's high scoring and Liverpool's consistent attacking performance, betting on both teams to score seems logical. Odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.55.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Marseille averages 7 corners per match, and Liverpool - 7.2. For over 9.5 corners: Marseille has 2 out of 5, Liverpool 4 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (14.2) is over 9.5, but there is no pair of odds for this total in the line. Statistics show that both teams actively take corners, especially Liverpool, who had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches. This allows considering bets on higher corner totals, as well as individual corner totals for each team. Overall, a large number of set pieces is expected at both ends.