Prediction for match Marseille — Monaco, 14.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Marseille will face Monaco in Ligue 1 on December 14, 2025. In the 1X2 betting market, Marseille's win is priced at 1.92, while a draw and a Monaco win are both at 4.04. Looking at the probability percentages, Marseille has 51.27%, with a draw and Monaco win both at 24.37%. This suggests a slight edge for Marseille, who are considered the favorites in this match. The tournament status and date add significance to this clash between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Marseille has an average possession of 59.8%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. During the same period, Monaco holds the ball 49.2% of the time on average, receives 2.4 yellows, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 3 times per match. In their last three games, Marseille defeated Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 (12/09/2025), lost to Lille 0-1 (12/05/2025), and drew with Toulouse 2-2 (11/29/2025). Monaco, in their last three matches, beat Galatasaray 1-0 (12/09/2025), lost to Brest 0-1 (12/05/2025), and defeated PSG 1-0 (11/29/2025). The last head-to-head between these teams was on April 12, 2025: Monaco - Marseille 3-0.

Teams' Scoring Trends

In their last five matches, Marseille averages 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4. Monaco's average total is 2.4, with the team scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Marseille has 4 out of 5, while Monaco has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Marseille has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Monaco in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Marseille recorded over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Monaco in 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Marseille most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (50%), while Monaco splits peaks between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (30% each). For goals conceded: Marseille most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (36%), Monaco has 33% in three different intervals - 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90. Overall, Marseille shows a very high-scoring profile, while Monaco does not always follow the high-scoring trend but doesn't play low-scoring games either. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.56 seems justified: Marseille's high scoring ability and Monaco's potential to keep up, especially in the second half, support this.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

On average, Marseille takes 6.8 corners per match, Monaco 4.6. In their last five matches, Marseille went over 9.5 corners three times, Monaco did so twice. In terms of odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.96. For corners outcome, Marseille is favored with odds of 1.48. Considering the average total corners for both teams (11.4), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially given Marseille's frequency of exceeding this total. Additionally, betting on Marseille to win the corners count is a viable option.