Prediction for match Marseille — Newcastle

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Newcastle

The UEFA Champions League continues to deliver exciting matchups, and the clash between Marseille and Newcastle on November 25, 2025, is no exception. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Newcastle's win is at 2.59, Marseille's at 2.91, and a draw is priced at 3.50. Looking at the probability percentages, Newcastle has 38.02%, Marseille 33.84%, and a draw 28.14%. This suggests a slight edge for the English team, but the French club is far from being an underdog. The odds for a win are closely matched, highlighting the expected competitiveness of the game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Marseille has maintained 55% possession, averaged 1.8 yellow cards per game, committed 12 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides. Newcastle, over the same period, has 50% possession, recorded 2 warnings, 9 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Marseille secured a big win over Nice 5-1 (21.11), thrashed Brest 3-0 (08.11), and lost to Atalanta 0-1 (05.11). Newcastle, on the other hand, beat Manchester City 2-1 (22.11), lost to Brentford 1-3 (09.11), and defeated Athletic Bilbao 2-0 (05.11). This form indicates that both teams are in decent shape.

Goals Statistics

In terms of goals totals over the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals three times and under results twice. In the first half, Marseille had over 1.5 goals twice, and Newcastle once. In the second half, both teams exceeded the 1.5 mark twice. The average number of goals per game for both is exactly 3, with Marseille scoring an average of 2.2 and Newcastle 1.6. For goals conceded: Marseille 0.8, Newcastle 1.4. This suggests that both sides are likely to score, and Newcastle's defense is not flawless. In terms of timing, Marseille most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while Newcastle distributes its goals evenly in the second half (25% from 46 to 60 and 76 to 90). Marseille's conceded goals are spread across four intervals (20% each), while Newcastle's are across three (33% from 0 to 15, 16 to 30, and 61 to 75). This distribution confirms a high probability of both teams scoring. A bet on both teams to score seems logical, given the attacking capabilities of both sides and the visitors' imperfect defense.

Corners Statistics

For corners in the last five matches, both Marseille and Newcastle average 4.4 per game. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is low: Marseille once in five, Newcastle twice. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.22, and for under 1.60. Based on the average corners, a bet on under 9.5 seems justified. There is no clear favorite for winning on corners, as both teams' stats are almost identical.