Prediction for match Marseille — Rennes, 03.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

The Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Rennes is set for February 3, 2026. The odds for a Marseille win are 1.62, a draw is priced at 4.10, and a Rennes victory is at 4.88. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 57.90% for a Marseille win, 22.88% for a draw, and 19.22% for a Rennes win. Marseille is seen as the favorite according to the odds and percentages, reflecting the bookmakers' confidence in their advantage at this stage of the tournament.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Marseille has maintained 57.8% possession, averaged 1.6 yellow cards, committed 11.6 fouls, and been caught offside 1.6 times per game. Rennes boasts an even higher possession rate of 61.6%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 3.6 times per match. Marseille's last three results: January 31, 2026, Paris FC 2-2 Marseille, January 28, 2026, Brugge 3-0 Marseille, January 24, 2026, Marseille 3-1 Lens. Rennes' last three matches: January 31, 2026, Monaco 4-0 Rennes, January 24, 2026, Rennes 0-2 Lorient, January 18, 2026, Rennes 1-1 Le Havre. In their last head-to-head on August 15, 2025, Rennes defeated Marseille 1-0.

Goal Totals Statistics

Marseille has shown a strong over-profile in their last five matches: all 5 games went over 2.5 goals, with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Marseille scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 2.2. For Rennes, 2 out of 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Marseille had 3 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Rennes had no games with more than 1.5 goals in the first half but 4 out of 5 in the second half. Marseille often scores between 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while conceding most frequently between 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (27% each). Rennes scores most often between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each) and concedes mainly between 61-75 minutes (38%). These stats suggest a high-scoring match, especially in the second half, supporting a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.59.

Corner Totals Analysis

Marseille averages 5 corners per match, while Rennes averages 7, totaling 12. In their last five matches, Marseille had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, and Rennes had 4 out of 5. For a total of 9.5 corners, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.70, under 9.5 - 2.10. These figures suggest an active game on the flanks and a high corner count, particularly given both teams' attacking styles.