Prediction for match Marseille — Strasbourg, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1, on February 14, Marseille will face Strasbourg. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Marseille win at 1.73, a draw at 4.32, and a Strasbourg victory at 4.88. According to probability percentages, Marseille has a 56.98% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 22.82%, and Strasbourg's chances are 20.20%. This setup indicates a noticeable advantage for Marseille, but Strasbourg can still surprise given their recent performances. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 total goals are 1.66, and both teams to score is at 1.60, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Marseille averages 51.4% ball possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 15.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Strasbourg holds the ball 45.4% of the time, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is offside 2 times. Marseille's last three matches were: 08.02.2026 PSG - Marseille 5-0, 03.02.2026 Marseille - Rennes 3-0, 31.01.2026 Paris FC - Marseille 2-2. Strasbourg's last three matches were: 08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2-1, 05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3-1, 01.02.2026 Strasbourg - PSG 1-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on 26.09.2025: Strasbourg - Marseille 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a strong over-profile in terms of goals. In their last five matches, Marseille has an average total of 3.8 goals per game, while Strasbourg has 3.6. Marseille scores 1.6 and concedes 2.2, while Strasbourg scores 2.2 and concedes 1.4. In their last five matches, both teams have hit over 2.5 goals 5 out of 5 times. By halves, Marseille has over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and over 1.5 in the second half 4 out of 5 times. Strasbourg has over 1.5 in the first half 4 out of 5 times and 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals, Marseille scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes evenly in three segments: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (33% each). Strasbourg scores most often between the 16th and 30th minute (30%) and concedes in the same interval (44%). The evident tendency of both teams towards high-scoring matches and the high frequency of over 2.5 totals make a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 logical and justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Marseille averages 4 corners per game, while Strasbourg averages 3.2. Over the last 5 matches, Marseille only had over 9.5 total corners once, and Strasbourg twice. The closest total to the average is 7.5, for which there are both betting options: over 7.5 corners at 1.33 and under 7.5 at 2.83. Marseille is favored to win the corner battle with odds of 1.32. Considering the average activity of both teams on corners and the infrequent occurrence of high totals, a bet on over 7.5 corners appears the most balanced for this match. You can also consider Marseille's advantage in the number of corners.