Prediction for match Marseille — Toulouse, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Toulouse

The Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse is scheduled for November 29, 2025. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Marseille's victory is priced at 1.66, a draw at 4.22, and a win for Toulouse at 5.74. According to probability percentages, Marseille has a 59.43% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.38%, and Toulouse's chances are 17.19%. Marseille is the clear favorite, but the likelihood of a draw is also notable. A more balanced choice seems to be betting on over 2.5 goals, offered at 1.89.

Team Results and Statistics

Marseille is on a five-match run with 54.6% possession, averaging 2.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. During the same period, Toulouse maintains 50.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and is caught offside an average of 0.8 times. In Marseille's last three matches, the results were: 25.11 - Marseille 2-1 Newcastle, 21.11 - Nice 1-5 Marseille, 08.11 - Marseille 3-0 Brest. Toulouse's recent games include: 23.11 - Toulouse 0-1 Angers, 09.11 - Lorient 1-1 Toulouse, 02.11 - Toulouse 0-0 Le Havre. The recent head-to-head on 06.04.2025 ended with Marseille 3-2 Toulouse, with over 2.5 goals bet winning.

Goals Statistics

Over a five-match span, Marseille averages a total of 2.8 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6. Toulouse averages 1.6 in total, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. In the last five matches, Marseille saw over 2.5 goals three times, while Toulouse only once. By halves, Marseille had over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves two out of five times, while Toulouse didn't achieve this in the first half and only once in the second. In terms of intervals, Marseille most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%) and concedes early (0-15, 33%). Toulouse's goals are more evenly distributed: 25% in four intervals, but half of their conceded goals occur between 46-60 minutes. Considering Marseille's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Toulouse's vulnerability after the break, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Bets

Marseille averages 6.4 corners per game over a five-match period, while Toulouse averages 7. Marseille had two instances of over 9.5 corners in five games, and Toulouse had four. For the total corners of 9.5, the available bets are: over 9.5 at 2.06, under 9.5 at 1.68. Marseille is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.42. An active wing play can be expected, and betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical given both teams' recent performances.