Prediction for match Mazatlán — Necaxa, 08.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on November 8, Mazatlán will face Necaxa. According to the odds, Necaxa is the favorite with a victory priced at 2.10, which corresponds to a 44.23% probability. Mazatlán's win is offered at 3.10 (29.96%), while a draw is at 3.60 (25.80%). This distribution of odds indicates greater confidence in Necaxa's attacking potential, but Mazatlán also has a chance to make an impact in this match. A high-scoring game is anticipated, with both teams likely to find the back of the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mazatlán has averaged 47% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 13.6 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides. Necaxa slightly edges possession with 48.2%, 2.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Mazatlán's last three matches: Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlán on November 2, Mazatlán 2-2 Club América on October 25, Mazatlán 2-2 Santos Laguna on October 22. Necaxa's last three: Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna on November 1, Atlético San Luis 3-4 Necaxa on October 27, Necaxa 1-1 Cruz Azul on October 22. Their last head-to-head was on February 22, 2025: Necaxa 3-1 Mazatlán, with over 2.5 goals. In their last five matches, Mazatlán averaged 4.2 corners, while Necaxa averaged 5.6.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five games, Mazatlán has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Necaxa has 4.6. Mazatlán scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6, while Necaxa scores 2.4 and concedes 2.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were seen in 2 out of 5 for Mazatlán, and the same for Necaxa. The second half is more productive for Necaxa with 4 occurrences of over 1.5 goals compared to 2 for Mazatlán. Mazatlán most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute marks (22% each), while Necaxa scores most often between 31-45 and 61-75 (23% each). Mazatlán concedes most goals in the final stages (76-90, 40%), while Necaxa concedes between 61-75 (36%). These stats confirm that both teams tend to play high-scoring football, especially in the second half. A bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.53 seems optimal, considering both sides' attacking styles and frequent over 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Mazatlán averages 4.2 corners over five games, and Necaxa averages 5.6. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred once for Mazatlán and three times for Necaxa. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.73, and under 9.5 is 2.00. Necaxa is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.91, while Mazatlán is at 2.10. Betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, given Necaxa's high numbers and Mazatlán's steady figures. Also, consider a bet on Necaxa's corner advantage, given their superior average corner count.