Prediction for match Mazatlán — Pachuca

Mazatlán vs. Pachuca Match Analysis

Mazatlán and Pachuca will face off in Liga MX on February 28th. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a Mazatlán win is at 3.60, a draw is at 3.44, and a Pachuca win is at 1.98. In terms of probability, Pachuca has a 47.05% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.08%, and Mazatlán has a 25.88% chance. Pachuca is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, making the match intriguing for analyzing goal potential and possible bets on both teams scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Mazatlán played as follows: 22.02.2026 - Tijuana - Mazatlán - 1-1, 15.02.2026 - Santos Laguna - Mazatlán - 1-2, 07.02.2026 - Mazatlán - Guadalajara - 1-2. Pachuca's recent results are: 21.02.2026 - Tigres UANL - Pachuca - 1-2, 14.02.2026 - Pachuca - Atlas - 3-1, 08.02.2026 - Pachuca - Juárez - 2-0. Mazatlán's average ball possession over five matches is 40.2%, while Pachuca's is 43.4%. In terms of yellow cards: Mazatlán - 2, Pachuca - 2.2. Mazatlán records 12.6 fouls and 1.8 offsides per game, Pachuca - 16.6 fouls and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 26.07.2025, Pachuca defeated Mazatlán 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Mazatlán's average total goals is 3, and Pachuca's is 1.8. Mazatlán scores 1 goal per game, Pachuca - 1.4, while Mazatlán concedes 2, and Pachuca only 0.4. In 5 matches, Mazatlán had over 2.5 goals in 3 instances, Pachuca in 2. In the first half, Mazatlán had more than 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, Pachuca 1 out of 5. In the second half, Mazatlán only had over 1.5 goals 1 out of 5, Pachuca 2 out of 5. By intervals: Mazatlán most often scores in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Pachuca scores between 31-45 minutes (50%). Mazatlán concedes most between 16 and 30 minutes (36%), Pachuca in the final minutes, from 76 to 90 (67%). Considering both teams' average scoring, regular over 2.5 totals, and that both sides score and concede, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.71 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for both Mazatlán and Pachuca is the same - 3.6 per game over a five-match series. For total corners over 9.5, Mazatlán had 3 out of 5, Pachuca 1 out of 5. Among the presented totals for corners, the line closest to the sum of average values is 7.5: total corners over 7.5 is at 1.32, under 7.5 is at 3.07. There is also a line 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.95, under 9.5 - 1.80. For the outcome on corners, Pachuca is the favorite with odds of 1.87. Overall, considering average values and frequencies, it makes sense to consider total corners over 7.5 or 9.5 as viable betting options, and also to note Pachuca's slight advantage in corners.