Prediction for match Melbourne City — Macarthur

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the A-League on December 23, Melbourne City will face Macarthur. According to the 1X2 odds, Melbourne City is favored to win, with odds of 1.71, indicating a 56.45% probability. A draw is set at 3.91, corresponding to a 24.69% chance, while Macarthur's victory is priced at 5.12 with an 18.86% probability. Thus, bookmakers clearly favor Melbourne City, but they also acknowledge the possibility of a closely contested match, given the relatively high probability of a draw. These figures reflect the current balance of power between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Melbourne City recorded the following results: December 20 - Melbourne City 0-1 Melbourne Victory, December 10 - FC Seoul 1-1 Melbourne City, December 6 - Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City. For Macarthur during the same period: December 19 - Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar, December 5 - Macarthur 0-0 Melbourne Victory, November 30 - Macarthur 0-2 Perth Glory. Looking at the averages over a five-match span, Melbourne City has 51% possession, commits 11.2 fouls, is caught offside 2.4 times, and receives 2 yellow cards per game. Macarthur shows 47% possession, 9.6 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on March 7, 2025, Melbourne City won 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Melbourne City vs Macarthur Match

In the last five matches, both teams have shown low scoring. Melbourne City averages 1.2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding only 0.4. Macarthur is involved in matches with an average of 1.6 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. Melbourne City has not had any matches go over 2.5 goals (0 out of 5 over, 5 out of 5 under), while Macarthur has seen only 1 out of 5 go over and 4 out of 5 under. In the first half, both teams have played under 1.5 goals 5 times out of 5, and in the second half, Melbourne City also has 5 out of 5 under, while Macarthur has 3 out of 5 over 1.5. Melbourne City tends to score most often in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Macarthur scores from the 61st to 90th minutes (50% in both the 61-75 and 76-90 intervals). Melbourne City's conceded goals are evenly distributed across three intervals (16-30, 61-75, 76-90 - 33% each), while half of Macarthur's conceded goals occur in the 76-90 minute interval. Based on this data, considering the consistent under profiles and modest scoring from both sides, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems the most justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Melbourne City averages 5.2 corners per game, while Macarthur averages 7. In the last five matches, both teams have exceeded 9.5 total corners 4 times out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of average values (12.2) is over 9.5 - under 9.5. The odds for this total are: over 9.5 corners - 1.62, under 9.5 - 2.17. Given that both teams frequently exceed high corner totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. It's also worth noting that both teams actively use the flanks and create chances, which increases the number of corners in their matches.