Prediction for match Melbourne City — Newcastle Jets, 11.01.2026

Match Analysis: Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets

In the A-League tournament on January 11, Melbourne City will face Newcastle Jets. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Melbourne City win at 1.74, a draw at 4.29, and Newcastle Jets win at 4.39. In terms of probability: Melbourne City - 55.50%, draw - 22.51%, Newcastle Jets - 22.00%. Melbourne City is considered the favorite, but the odds are not too far apart, adding intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Melbourne City has an average possession of 63.4%, receives an average of 2 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Newcastle Jets have 50.2% possession, receive 2.2 yellow cards, commit 9.4 fouls, and also 1.8 offsides. Recent Melbourne City matches: 06.01.2026 - Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar - 1-0, 03.01.2026 - Melbourne City vs Sydney - 0-0, 28.12.2025 - Melbourne City vs Perth Glory - 1-3. For Newcastle Jets: 01.01.2026 - Auckland vs Newcastle Jets - 1-3, 26.12.2025 - Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur - 4-5, 20.12.2025 - Newcastle Jets vs Sydney - 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 06.12.2025, Newcastle Jets lost to Melbourne City 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets

In terms of scoring, only 1 of Melbourne City's last 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals, while 4 ended with under. For Newcastle Jets, 3 out of 5 games went over 2.5. Melbourne City averages 1.6 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. Newcastle Jets average 4 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6. By halves: Melbourne City has 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second, while Newcastle Jets have 2 and 3 respectively. In terms of goal intervals: Melbourne City most often scores between 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90, 40%). Newcastle Jets frequently score between 61-75 minutes (38%) and concede between 46-60 (33%). Given Newcastle Jets' high scoring rate, frequent overs, and Melbourne City's not so reliable defense, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.53 seems logical. This choice is supported by Newcastle Jets' average scoring and both teams' tendency to score in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Melbourne City averages 8 corners per game, Newcastle Jets - 5. In the last 5 matches, Melbourne City went over 9.5 corners 5 times, Newcastle Jets - 4 times. The line for corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.51, under 9.5 at 2.39. Melbourne City is favored on corners with odds of 1.44. Both teams are expected to continue their trend of high corner counts, making a bet on over 9.5 corners look justified. It's also worth noting that Melbourne City consistently delivers a high number of corners, and Newcastle Jets can maintain a high pace in this aspect.