Prediction for match Melbourne Victory — Brisbane Roar

Match Analysis: Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar

The A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar is scheduled for 14.02.2026. The odds for a Melbourne Victory win are 1.76, a draw is priced at 3.84, and a Brisbane Roar win is at 4.81. The probability for the outcomes based on 1X2 are: Melbourne Victory 54.82%, draw 25.12%, Brisbane Roar 20.06%. Analysts consider Melbourne Victory the clear favorite, but Brisbane Roar's recent form suggests they shouldn't be underestimated. Expect a high-scoring match given both teams' attacking styles and recent goal stats.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Melbourne Victory recorded the following results: 06.02.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2-3, 01.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1-0, 26.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Sydney 4-0. During the same period, Brisbane Roar played as follows: 07.02.2026 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1-2, 31.01.2026 Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar 4-1, 24.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United 2-3. In their last head-to-head on 28.11.2025, Brisbane Roar defeated Melbourne Victory 1-0. In a five-match span, Melbourne Victory averages 53% possession, commits 8.2 fouls, receives 2.4 yellow cards, and records 2.4 offsides. Brisbane Roar averages 46% possession, 11 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Melbourne Victory's average total goals is 2.8, while Brisbane Roar's is even higher at 3.6. Melbourne Victory scores an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Brisbane Roar scores 1.2 but concedes an average of 2.4, compared to Melbourne Victory's 1.2. Melbourne Victory has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and Brisbane Roar in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Melbourne Victory had just 1 match with over 1.5 goals, while Brisbane Roar had 2. In the second half, Melbourne Victory had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while Brisbane Roar had 2 out of 5. Melbourne Victory most frequently scores between the 76-90 minute mark (44%), while Brisbane Roar spreads its goals across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (25% each). In terms of goals conceded, Melbourne Victory's distribution is even across all intervals (20%), whereas Brisbane Roar most frequently concedes between 61-75 minutes (30%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent over 2.5 goal matches, it's reasonable to expect at least three goals in this match. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.82, making this the main prediction for the game.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Melbourne Victory averages 8 corners per match, while Brisbane Roar averages 3.6. In the last five matches, Melbourne Victory has had over 9.5 total corners three times, and Brisbane Roar only once. Considering total corners, the line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5, with odds of 2.56 for over and 1.40 for under. Melbourne Victory is favored in corners with odds of 1.47. Expect active play in front of Brisbane Roar's goal, leading to many corners for Melbourne Victory. Also, consider over 9.5 total corners, a frequent occurrence in Melbourne Victory's matches.