Prediction for match Melbourne Victory — Wellington Phoenix

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the A-League on December 29, Melbourne Victory will face Wellington Phoenix. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Melbourne Victory to win is priced at 1.65, a draw is at 4.24, and Wellington Phoenix to win is offered at 5.11. In terms of percentages: Melbourne Victory has a 58.41% chance to win, a draw is rated at 22.73%, and Wellington Phoenix has an 18.86% chance of success. Melbourne Victory is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap isn't overwhelming, adding intrigue to the match. The line also highlights a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.66 and no at 2.09, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Melbourne Victory averages 49% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Wellington Phoenix holds 50% possession, receives 1.2 yellows, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times. In the last three matches, Melbourne Victory: 20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0-1, 13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2-1, 05.12.2025 Macarthur - Melbourne Victory 0-0. Wellington Phoenix: 21.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 3-1, 14.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 1-3, 06.12.2025 Auckland - Wellington Phoenix 3-1. The last encounter between these opponents was on April 12, 2025: Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2-3.

Goal Statistics

In the last five games, Melbourne Victory had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches and under in 3, while Wellington Phoenix recorded over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. Melbourne Victory's average goals per match is 1.6, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1 goal per game. Wellington Phoenix has an average total of 3.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. By halves, Melbourne Victory hasn't scored more than 1.5 goals in the first half in any of the 5 games, but the second half total over 1.5 occurred 2 times. Wellington Phoenix had more than 1.5 goals in the first half once, and in the second half 4 times out of 5. Melbourne Victory most frequently scores between the 46th-60th minute (33%), while Wellington Phoenix scores most often between the 61st-75th minute (36%). Melbourne Victory concedes most often towards the end (76th-90th minute, 100%), while Wellington Phoenix concedes in the 46th-60th minute (57%). Given Wellington Phoenix's high scoring and frequent over 2.5 totals, along with Melbourne Victory's vulnerability in the second half, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.66 seems logical.

Corner Bets

Melbourne Victory averages 6.4 corners per match, Wellington Phoenix - 5. In the last five matches, Melbourne Victory recorded over 9.5 corners in all 5 games, Wellington Phoenix - in 3 out of 5. For a total of 11 corners, bets are available: over 11 at 2.11, under 11 at 1.68. Melbourne Victory is the favorite for corners at 1.31. With these figures, expecting a minimum of 10-11 corners in the match is logical, and a bet on over 11 corners at 2.11 seems justified for risk-takers.