Tips for match Metz — Lens, 29.10.2025

Match Analysis: Metz vs Lens

In the upcoming Ligue 1 encounter on October 29, 2025, Metz will face off against Lens. Lens is the favorite according to the odds, with a victory priced at 1.48 and a win probability of 63.87%. The odds for a draw stand at 4.50 (21.01%), while a Metz win is at 6.25 (15.12%). This reflects Lens' advantage in current form and statistical metrics, as well as confidence in their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

Metz has been struggling in their last five matches, averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 3.6, with a total match goal average of 4.2. Recent results include losses to Lille 1-6 (October 26, 2025), Toulouse 0-4 (October 19, 2025), and Marseille 0-3 (October 4, 2025). Lens, on the other hand, is in excellent form, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game, with an average of 2.4 goals per match. Recent victories include wins over Marseille 2-1 (October 25, 2025), Paris FC 2-1 (October 19, 2025), and Auxerre 2-1 (October 4, 2025). In head-to-head meetings in 2025, Lens won 2-1 on July 26, while Metz won 2-1 on April 12. Previous matches have seen victories for both sides and a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have seen the over 2.5 goals line hit 4 out of 5 times in their recent matches. Metz has an average total goals per match of 4.2, while Lens has 2.4. For first-half goals over 1.5, both teams have achieved this in 3 out of 5 matches, while in the second half, Metz has seen the over hit 4 out of 5 times, and Lens just 1 out of 5. Metz most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (47%), while Lens scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Metz often concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each), while Lens concedes most frequently between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). These statistics suggest a high likelihood of a goal-rich game, especially in the second half.

Corners in the Match

Metz averages 4.4 corners over their last five matches, while Lens averages 5. Regarding the over 9.5 corners line, Metz has surpassed it 2 out of 5 times, and Lens 4 out of 5 times. Notable odds include over 8.5 corners at 1.67 and under 9.5 corners at 1.73. Lens is favored to win the corners battle with odds of 1.44.