Prediction for match Metz — Nice, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Metz vs Nice

On November 9, 2025, Metz will face Nice in Ligue 1. According to the odds, Nice is favored to win, with their victory priced at 2.10, reflecting a 45.05% probability. Metz's win is at 3.30 (28.67%), and a draw is at 3.60 (26.28%). These odds suggest that Nice is seen as the more reliable choice in this matchup. The double chance for 1X is set at 1.70, and the over 2.5 goals is at 1.73. Both teams to score (BTTS): Yes is at 1.62, No is at 2.20. For the first goal, Nice is also favored at 1.73 compared to Metz's 2.20, highlighting a general trend in favor of the visitors.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at additional statistics and recent matches. Over the last five matches, Metz has had better possession at 46.8% compared to Nice's 38.2%. Metz averages 1.6 yellow cards, while Nice averages 2.2. Both teams commit 10.8 fouls per match, with Metz slightly ahead in offsides at 1.2 compared to 1. In Metz's last three matches: November 2, 2025 - Nantes vs Metz 0-2, October 29, 2025 - Metz vs Lens 2-0, October 26, 2025 - Lille vs Metz 6-1. For Nice: November 6, 2025 - Nice vs Freiburg 1-3, November 1, 2025 - PSG vs Nice 1-0, October 29, 2025 - Nice vs Lille 2-0. In their last head-to-head on January 27, 2024, Nice defeated Metz 1-0, with the total under 2.5 goals. In the previous four encounters, the total was under 2.5 goals three times and over 2.5 once.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches for both teams, the over 2.5 goals occurred 3 out of 5 times. Metz had 3 overs and 2 unders, while Nice also had 3 overs and 2 unders. By halves, Metz had over 1.5 goals in the second half in all 5 cases, but only 2 out of 5 in the first half. Nice, on the other hand, had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and none in the second half. Average goals: Metz scores 3.6 goals per match, Nice 2.6. Metz averages 1 goal scored and 2.6 conceded, while Nice averages 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. Metz tends to score and concede late (76-90 minute: 50% and 67%), while Nice's goals are spread between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), with conceded goals mostly between 31-45 minutes (67%). Given the consistent over 2.5 goals and Metz's high scoring in recent matches, along with Nice's regular away goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems optimal. Additionally, both teams to score has occurred in most recent matches for both teams, supported by the 1.62 odds for this outcome.

How Many Corners?

For average corners in the last five games, Metz delivers 4, while Nice delivers 3. The over 9.5 corners occurred 2 out of 5 times for Metz, and 4 out of 5 for Nice, indicating slightly more activity for the visitors in this aspect. The odds for total corners are equal: over 9.5 - 1.83, under 9.5 - 1.83. Nice is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.67. Based on statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, given Nice's high frequency and Metz's average performance. You might also consider Nice's individual total over 5.5 corners at 2.10 for a higher odds option.