Prediction for match Metz — Paris FC

Match Analysis: Metz vs Paris FC

In Ligue 1 on April 19, Metz will face Paris FC. Paris FC is the favorite according to the odds: a win for Paris FC is priced at 2.15, while Metz is at 3.62 and a draw at 3.64. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 45.78% chance of success for Paris FC, 27.19% for Metz, and 27.04% for a draw. Paris FC shows a higher probability of winning, which is supported by recent match statistics, where the team consistently picks up points and shows scoring ability. Meanwhile, Metz cannot boast of stable results, which affects their chances in this match.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Metz averages 48.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Paris FC averages 41.2% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and also 1.6 offsides per game. Metz's last three matches: 10.04.2026 Marseille - Metz 3-1, 05.04.2026 Metz - Nantes 0-0, 22.03.2026 Rennes - Metz 0-0. Paris FC's recent results: 10.04.2026 Paris FC - Monaco 4-1, 05.04.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 1-1, 22.03.2026 Paris FC - Le Havre 3-2. In their last head-to-head on 31.08.2025, Paris FC defeated Metz 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Metz has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2 goals per match. Paris FC has a similar average total of 2.8, but they score 1.8 and concede 1. For over 2.5 goals: 3 out of 5 Metz games ended with three or more goals, and for Paris FC, it's 2 out of 5. In the first half, only 1 out of 5 Metz matches was high-scoring (over 1.5), while Paris FC had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded 3 out of 5 over 1.5. For goal intervals, Metz most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), and concedes in the first 15 minutes (40%). Paris FC frequently scores in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), and mostly concedes between 61-75 minutes (60%). Considering both teams have average goal figures and regular over totals, a bet on both teams to score at 1.67 seems logical. Metz regularly concedes, and Paris FC consistently scores, while Metz has the potential to score at least once.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Metz over 5 matches is 4, while for Paris FC it's 4.4. In a series of five games, Metz had more than 9.5 corners 3 times, and Paris FC 5 times out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum average (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.50, under at 2.42. For the outcome on corners, Paris FC is the favorite at odds of 2.00. Given both teams' activity from corner kicks, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, and Paris FC might win in this aspect.