Prediction for match Metz — Rennes, 28.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The match between Metz and Rennes will take place on November 28th as part of Ligue 1. According to the odds, Rennes is the favorite with a win priced at 2.03, while both Metz and a draw are set at 3.82. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Metz win 25.76%, draw 25.76%, Rennes win 48.48%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in Rennes' attacking potential, especially considering their current form and recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Metz has averaged 45% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 11 fouls, and recorded 0.6 offsides per game. Rennes, in the same parameters, shows 48.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recent matches for Metz: November 23, 2025, Brest 3-2 Metz, November 9, 2025, Metz 2-1 Nice, November 2, 2025, Nantes 0-2 Metz. For Rennes: November 22, 2025, Rennes 4-1 Monaco, November 7, 2025, Paris FC 0-1 Rennes, November 2, 2025, Rennes 4-1 Strasbourg. In their recent head-to-head on May 4, 2024, Metz vs Rennes ended 2-3, with the total over 2.5 goals.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Metz hit the total over 2.5 goals three times and stayed under twice. Rennes saw four out of five matches end with over 2.5 goals. By halves, Metz had the total over 1.5 goals in the first half two out of five times, and in the second half, this figure was maximum - 5 out of 5 over. For Rennes, in the first half, it was two out of five over 1.5, and in the second half, three out of five. On average, Metz scores 1.8 and concedes 2 goals per match, while Rennes scores 2.4 and concedes 1.2. By intervals: Metz most frequently scores and concedes in the 76-90 minute segment (50% and 67% respectively), Rennes most often scores from the 46th to 60th minute (36%), and concedes also towards the end (76-90 minutes, 43%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, especially in the second halves, and frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes in their matches, a bet on over 2.5 goals is logical.

Corner Bets

Metz averages 4.6 corners per game, while Rennes averages 6.8. In the last five matches, Metz hit the total over 9.5 corners twice, and Rennes five out of five times. The odds highlight a total over 9.5 corners at 2.06 and under 9.5 at 1.59. For the corner outcome, Rennes is the favorite with odds of 1.71. Considering the high average corner count, especially for Rennes, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.