Prediction for match Metz — Brest

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1 on March 1st, Metz will face Brest. The odds for Brest's victory are set at 2.18, corresponding to a 45.15% probability. A draw is priced at 3.54 with a 27.81% probability, while Metz's win is at 3.64 with a 27.04% chance. Thus, Brest is considered the favorite, but the gap in chances is not significant, promising an intriguing match in terms of balance. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.03, under 2.5 goals at 1.91. Both teams to score: yes - 1.75, no - 1.98. For individual totals: Brest over 1.5 goals is at 2.15, Metz over 1.5 goals at 3.08. Double chance options: 1.33 for X2, 1.35 for 12, 1.76 for 1X.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Metz lost to PSG 0-3, Auxerre 1-3, and drew 0-0 with Lille. Brest, in their last three games, defeated Marseille 2-0, drew 1-1 with Lille, and won 2-0 against Lorient. Over the last five matches, Metz has an average possession of 44.6%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Brest has 39.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 23, 2025, Brest won 3-2 against Metz.

How Many Goals in Metz vs Brest

In their last five matches, Metz has an average total of 3 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game. Brest has an average of 2.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Metz has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games, while Brest in only 1 of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Metz 2 out of 5, Brest 3 out of 5. In the second half over 1.5: Metz 2 out of 5, Brest 3 out of 5. Metz scores most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29%), while conceding most often from 76 to 90 minutes (38%). Brest scores most between 61 and 75 minutes (43%) and concedes from 16 to 30 minutes (33%). Brest shows more stable scoring and conceding metrics, while Metz has noticeable defensive weaknesses. Considering Metz's low scoring and Brest's not-so-high frequency of over 2.5, under 2.5 goals at 1.91 is a logical bet.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Metz averages 3 corners per match, Brest 3.8. Over the last five matches, Metz had over 9.5 corners once, Brest three times. The line for total corners is close to the average - 7-8, but there's a pair for over 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.04, under 9.5 at 1.69. Brest is the favorite for corners at 1.90. Expect 7-9 corners in this match, with a slight edge for Brest's activity. Also, consider under 9.5 corners, given the average stats of both teams and Metz's frequency of this total.