Prediction for match Middlesbrough — Birmingham, 08.11.2025

Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

On November 8th, in the English Championship, Middlesbrough will face Birmingham. According to betting odds, there is no clear favorite: a win for Middlesbrough is priced at 2.45, a draw at 3.40, and a win for Birmingham at 2.75. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Middlesbrough 38.29%, draw 27.59%, Birmingham 34.11%. This setup indicates a closely contested match, with both teams having real chances of success. Interestingly, the difference in win probability between the teams is less than 5 percent, highlighting the potential for a tight battle until the final whistle.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Middlesbrough averaged 56.4% possession, 5.4 corners, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Birmingham, over the same period, showed 55.2% possession, 5.8 corners, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Middlesbrough: November 4th Leicester - Middlesbrough 1-1, November 1st Watford - Middlesbrough 3-0, October 25th Middlesbrough - Wrexham 1-1. Birmingham: November 4th Birmingham - Millwall 4-0, November 1st Birmingham - Portsmouth 4-0, October 25th Bristol City - Birmingham 1-0. In their head-to-head on March 12, 2024, Birmingham lost to Middlesbrough 0-1, with the total under 2.5. This underscores that matches between these opponents often have a limited number of goals.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

In Middlesbrough's last five matches, the total over 2.5 was achieved twice, and under 2.5 thrice. Birmingham saw over 2.5 goals in three out of five. In the first halves, Middlesbrough had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Birmingham in 3 out of 5. In the second halves, Middlesbrough only had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, Birmingham in 3 out of 5. Middlesbrough's average goals per match is 2.2, Birmingham's is 3. Scoring ability: Middlesbrough - 1, Birmingham - 2.2; they concede 1.2 and 0.8 respectively. By intervals: Middlesbrough most often scores between 31-45 minutes (43%), Birmingham scores evenly across all intervals, at 17% each. Middlesbrough concedes most frequently at the beginning (0-15 minutes, 40%) and end (76-90 minutes, 40%), Birmingham concedes 50% between 31-45 minutes. These data indicate Birmingham's attacking advantages, but the visitors' defense is also quite solid. Considering Middlesbrough's average total over 5 matches does not exceed 2.2, and Birmingham shows a higher pace, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified, especially with Birmingham's 3 out of 5 success rate and odds of 2.10.

Betting on Corners

Both teams show stability in corners: Middlesbrough averages 5.4, Birmingham 5.8 over 5 games. The total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Middlesbrough and three times for Birmingham. Betting odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.91. Middlesbrough is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.83. The frequency and average performance data support considering a bet on total corners over 9.5 as justified, especially given both teams' attacking activity and their fouls and possession statistics.