Prediction for match Middlesbrough — Blackburn Rovers

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on December 26, Middlesbrough will face Blackburn Rovers. Bookmakers offer odds of 1.83 for a Middlesbrough win, 3.55 for a draw, and 4.18 for a Blackburn Rovers victory. In terms of probabilities: Middlesbrough - 51.20%, draw - 26.39%, Blackburn Rovers - 22.41%. Middlesbrough is highlighted as the favorite, but Blackburn Rovers isn't without hope, as the odds for their win aren't overly high. Based on these figures, bookmakers expect Middlesbrough to have an advantage, but there's also a significant chance for a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Middlesbrough shows average possession of 65%, 1 yellow card, 8.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Blackburn Rovers have 45.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Middlesbrough played: Bristol City 2-0 Middlesbrough on 20.12.2025, Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR on 13.12.2025, Charlton Athletic 1-2 Middlesbrough on 09.12.2025. For Blackburn Rovers: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Millwall on 20.12.2025, Portsmouth 2-1 Blackburn Rovers on 13.12.2025, Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Oxford United on 09.12.2025. Their last head-to-head was on April 4, 2025: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Middlesbrough.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average over 5 matches, Middlesbrough scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1.2, with a total match goal average of 3.4. Blackburn Rovers have lower averages: 1.2 goals scored, 1 conceded, totaling 2.2 goals per game. Middlesbrough had over 2.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Blackburn Rovers had it only once. By halves, Middlesbrough had over 1.5 goals three times in the first half, twice in the second. Blackburn Rovers had it once in the first half and twice in the second. Middlesbrough often scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while Blackburn Rovers score between the 76th and 90th minute (57%). Middlesbrough's most vulnerable period for conceding is the 31-45 minute (63%), and for Blackburn Rovers, it's the same interval (50%). Considering Middlesbrough's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and a clear over-profile on goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.89 seems logical. Blackburn Rovers aren't as consistent in attack, but their defense isn't flawless, increasing the probability of a high-scoring match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Middlesbrough averages 8.4 corners per game, Blackburn Rovers 6.6. In a five-game series, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches. Among corner total odds, there's a pair: over 9.5 - 1.72, under 9.5 - 2.00. Middlesbrough is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.44. Given the high average corner statistics and frequent over 9.5 total outcomes, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Middlesbrough often outperforms their opponent in this aspect, which could impact the corner distribution in this match.