Prediction for match Middlesbrough — Charlton Athletic

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on 11.03.2026, Middlesbrough faces Charlton Athletic. The odds for a Middlesbrough win are 1.38, a draw is priced at 4.65, and a Charlton Athletic victory is at 7.85. The probabilities for the outcomes are: Middlesbrough 67.91%, draw 20.15%, Charlton Athletic 11.94%. Middlesbrough shows a clear advantage in both odds and percentages, but for the main prediction, it's more interesting to look at the totals, where there are attractive options with odds above 1.50. Among them, under 2.5 goals at 1.97 stands out.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Middlesbrough has an average possession of 63%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Over the same period, Charlton Athletic has 42.4% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. In Middlesbrough's last three matches: QPR - Middlesbrough 0-4 (08.03.2026), Birmingham - Middlesbrough 1-3 (02.03.2026), Middlesbrough - Leicester 1-1 (24.02.2026). For Charlton Athletic: Charlton Athletic - Birmingham 1-0 (07.03.2026), Charlton Athletic - Wrexham 0-1 (28.02.2026), West Bromwich - Charlton Athletic 1-1 (24.02.2026). Their last head-to-head was on 09.12.2025: Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough 1-2.

Goals by Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Middlesbrough's average total goals per match is 2.8, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1 goal per game. Charlton Athletic's average total is 2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Middlesbrough has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches, while Charlton Athletic has done so in only 1 of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 of 5 for Middlesbrough, and 1 of 5 for Charlton Athletic. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 3 of 5 for Middlesbrough, and 2 of 5 for Charlton Athletic. Middlesbrough most often scores between 46-60 minutes (40%), while Charlton Athletic scores between 61-75 minutes (50%). Both teams most frequently concede goals between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (33%). With Charlton Athletic's low attacking output and Middlesbrough's moderate frequency of over 2.5 goals, it's reasonable to expect a low-scoring match and choose under 2.5 goals at 1.97 as the main prediction.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Middlesbrough averages 5.8 corners per match, Charlton Athletic averages 2.4. Middlesbrough has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 of 5 matches, while Charlton Athletic has done so in only 1 of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.40, under 8.5 at 2.75. Middlesbrough is the favorite in corner outcomes at 1.22. It's logical to assume Middlesbrough will take more corners, and the total corners will be in the 8-10 range, considering both teams' averages and Middlesbrough's frequency.