Prediction for match Middlesbrough — Oxford United

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Championship on 21.02.2026, Middlesbrough faces Oxford United. The odds for Middlesbrough to win are 1.36, a draw is at 4.65, and Oxford United's victory is priced at 8.55. In terms of probability percentages, the distribution is as follows: Middlesbrough 68.89%, draw 20.15%, Oxford United 10.96%. The advantage in terms of chances is clearly on Middlesbrough's side, as reflected in the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Middlesbrough has an average possession of 63.4%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times per game. In the same period, Oxford United holds 36.4% possession, receives 3.4 yellows, commits 11.4 fouls, and is offside 2.2 times. Middlesbrough's last three matches: 16.02.2026 Coventry - Middlesbrough 3-1, 09.02.2026 Sheffield United - Middlesbrough 1-2, 31.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 1-0. Oxford United played as follows: 15.02.2026 Oxford United - Sunderland 0-1, 10.02.2026 Oxford United - Norwich City 0-3, 07.02.2026 Coventry - Oxford United 0-0. Their last head-to-head was on 22.11.2025: Oxford United - Middlesbrough 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Middlesbrough averages 3 goals per game, while Oxford United averages 2. Middlesbrough scores 2 and concedes 1, whereas Oxford United scores only 0.2 and concedes 1.8. In a series of five, Middlesbrough's total over 2.5 goals happened 4 times, and for Oxford United, it was 2. By halves, Middlesbrough had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half also twice. Oxford United had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and only once in the second half. Middlesbrough most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (30%), while Oxford United splits its goals 33% each between the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals. Middlesbrough most often concedes between the 46th and 60th minute (40%), and Oxford United concedes 29% in both the 0-15 and 16-30 minute intervals. Considering Oxford United's low scoring and Middlesbrough's solid defense, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over 5 matches, Middlesbrough averages 5 corners, and Oxford United averages 2.6. In a series of five, Middlesbrough's total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times, and for Oxford United, it was 3. The line highlights a corner total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.58, under 9.5 at 2.21. For corner outcomes, Middlesbrough is the favorite with odds of 1.06. Given the average activity in corners, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, but the main focus should be on Oxford United's low scoring and Middlesbrough's advantage in set-piece statistics.