Prediction for match Millwall — Derby County

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on 10.03.2026, Millwall will face Derby County. The odds for a Millwall win are 1.97, a draw is at 3.34, and a Derby County victory is 3.84. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Millwall - 47.55%, draw - 28.05%, Derby County - 24.40%. Based on these numbers, Millwall appears to be the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't too large, adding intrigue to the match. Options for totals and both teams to score also have attractive odds, which might interest fans of high-scoring games.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Millwall has shown strong additional statistical parameters: average ball possession is 52%, with 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Derby County's average possession is 47.4%, with also 2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Millwall defeated Hull City (3-1, 07.03.2026), won against Preston North End (2-0, 28.02.2026), and thrashed Birmingham (3-0, 25.02.2026). Derby County in their last three matches beat Sheffield Wednesday (2-1, 07.03.2026), overcame Blackburn Rovers (3-1, 28.02.2026), but lost to Hull City (2-4, 24.02.2026). In their head-to-head on 10.12.2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring ability of both teams in their last five matches is impressive: Millwall has an average of 3.2 goals per match, Derby County 3.4. Millwall scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 1, while Derby County scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Millwall recorded 4 out of 5, Derby County 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half, 3 times out of 5. This indicates a tendency for a more productive second half. Millwall most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each), while Derby County scores in three different periods: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 (23% each). For conceded goals, Millwall is most vulnerable between the 61st-75th minutes (40%), and Derby County between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (50% each). Given the high scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals, and consistent attacking metrics of both teams, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.03.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Millwall averages 6.4 corners per match, Derby County 3.8. In their last five matches, Millwall had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Derby County once. Considering the total corners, the combined average for both teams is 10.2. The line offers a bet on total corners of 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.01, under 10.5 at 1.71. Millwall is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.60. Based on statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners, given Millwall's high activity in this area and the overall attacking style of both teams.