Prediction for match Mirandes — Burgos, 16.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Segunda Division, Mirandes will face Burgos on November 16, 2025. The odds for an away win are set at 2.40, a draw is priced at 2.90, and a victory for Mirandes is at 3.30. Burgos is the favorite according to the odds, but the probability of a draw is also quite high. Looking at the probabilities: Mirandes win 28.47%, draw 32.39%, Burgos win 39.14%.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirandes averaged 42.6% possession, received 3.8 yellow cards, committed 17 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Burgos averaged 42.8% possession, 3.8 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recent matches for Mirandes include: November 7, 2025, Mirandes 2-1 Sporting Gijon, November 1, 2025, Cultural Leonesa 3-2 Mirandes, October 25, 2025, Mirandes 1-3 Racing Santander. For Burgos: November 10, 2025, Castellon 0-0 Burgos, November 1, 2025, Leganes 1-2 Burgos, October 25, 2025, Burgos 1-0 Real Sociedad II. In the last head-to-head on April 26, 2025, Mirandes beat Burgos 2-1, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Mirandes saw over 2.5 goals scored in 3 games, while Burgos had only 2 out of 5. In the first half, Mirandes recorded over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Burgos in 2 out of 5. In the second halves, Mirandes again had 3 out of 5 for over, while Burgos had none for over 1.5. The average number of goals per match for Mirandes is 2.8, for Burgos 1.8. In terms of goals scored: Mirandes 1, Burgos 1.2; goals conceded: Mirandes 1.8, Burgos 0.6. Mirandes most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), while Burgos scores in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (33% each). For goals conceded, Mirandes is most vulnerable between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while Burgos is most vulnerable from 31-45 (50%). Considering Burgos' low scoring in recent matches and only Mirandes consistently hitting over 2.5, it makes sense to bet on at least one team not scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Mirandes averages 3.8 corners per game in their last five matches, while Burgos averages 4.2. The total corners over 9.5 occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for both teams. The line for the match is set at over 8.5 corners at 1.95, under 8.5 at 1.85. Burgos is favored in the corner outcome with odds at 1.91. Given the relatively low averages and frequency of the 9.5 total occurring in only 2 out of 5 matches, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems most justified.