Prediction for match Mirandes — Sporting Gijon, 07.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Segunda match between Mirandes and Sporting Gijon, scheduled for November 7, 2025, the bookmakers have identified a favorite. Sporting Gijon is given odds of 2.10 to win, which corresponds to a 44.32% probability. A draw is priced at 3.20 (29.09%), while Mirandes' victory is at 3.50 (26.59%). Thus, analysts lean towards a success for the visitors, although the likelihood of a draw is also significant. Other outcomes, such as over 2.5 goals at 2.25 and under 2.5 goals at 1.62, indicate that the match is expected to be low-scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirandes has an average possession of 39.8%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 17 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Sporting Gijon averages 35.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Mirandes lost to Cultural Leonesa 2-3 (01.11.2025), Racing Santander 1-3 (25.10.2025), and AD Ceuta 0-2 (18.10.2025). Sporting Gijon drew with Las Palmas 0-0 (02.11.2025), defeated Real Zaragoza 1-0 (26.10.2025), and beat Real Valladolid 3-2 (19.10.2025). In their last head-to-head meeting on April 18, 2025, Sporting Gijon won against Mirandes 3-1, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Mirandes had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Conversely, Sporting Gijon had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. In the first half, Mirandes had three matches with two or more goals, while Sporting Gijon had two out of five. In the second halves, both teams had two matches with over 1.5 goals. The average number of goals in the last 5 matches for both teams is 2.6, but Mirandes scored only 0.8 and conceded 1.8, whereas Sporting Gijon scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2. Mirandes most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), and concedes between the 31st-45th minute (50%). Sporting Gijon scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 intervals (25% each), but 40% of their conceded goals occur in the first 15 minutes. These statistics, combined with Mirandes' low scoring, suggest a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.62.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Mirandes takes 3.4 corners per match, while Sporting Gijon takes 2. In their last five matches, Mirandes had over 9.5 corners three times, and Sporting Gijon twice. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.92, and for under, 1.88. Sporting Gijon is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.83. Based on the statistics, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified, considering the low averages of both teams.