Prediction for match Mirandes — Sporting Gijon

Match Analysis: Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon

In the Copa del Rey on December 3, 2025, Mirandes will face Sporting Gijon. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Mirandes win - 2.83, draw - 3.24, Sporting Gijon win - 2.65. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Mirandes - 34.00%, draw - 29.70%, Sporting Gijon - 36.31%. The odds indicate that neither team is a clear favorite, but Sporting Gijon has a slight edge in terms of probability. This reflects the teams' similar levels and the potentially tough nature of the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Mirandes played as follows: on 30.11.2025 Mirandes beat Real Sociedad II 1-0, on 23.11.2025 they lost to Malaga 3-2, and on 16.11.2025 they were defeated by Burgos 0-2. Sporting Gijon's last three games went as follows: on 28.11.2025 they drew 1-1 with FC Andorra, on 23.11.2025 they lost 2-0 to Huesca, and on 16.11.2025 they drew 1-1 with Eibar. In their head-to-head on November 7, 2025, Mirandes won 2-1. Over a five-match series, Mirandes averages 46% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Sporting Gijon shows 51% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and also 1.8 offsides per match. This suggests higher discipline and ball control for Sporting Gijon, but Mirandes plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Mirandes averages 3.2 goals per game over a five-match series, with 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded. Sporting Gijon's figures are more modest: 1.8 goals on average, 0.6 scored, and 1.2 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Mirandes had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, while Sporting Gijon had only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Mirandes had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon had none. In the second half, Mirandes played 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Sporting Gijon - 2 out of 5. Both teams most often score in the 76-90 minute interval: Mirandes - 44%, Sporting Gijon - 67%. Mirandes also concedes mostly in the final stages (43%), while Sporting Gijon distributes conceded goals equally between the start, middle, and end (33% each). Against this backdrop, betting on over 2.0 goals seems logical: Mirandes regularly participates in high-scoring matches, and Sporting Gijon can create chances at the end. The odds for over 2.0 goals are 1.66.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over a five-match span, Mirandes averages 3.2 corners, while Sporting Gijon has a significantly higher average of 5.8. For over 9.5 corners, Mirandes had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Sporting Gijon had 3 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the closest value to the average sum (9) is the 9.5 line. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.45, and for under, it's 1.47. Based on recent game dynamics, it makes sense to expect Sporting Gijon to approach the opponent's goal more often and deliver more corners. Overall, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems cautious, considering Mirandes' low performance in this regard.