Prediction for match Mirandes — Real Valladolid

Match Analysis: Mirandes vs Real Valladolid

On March 22, Mirandes will face Real Valladolid in the Segunda Division. The odds for the match are as follows: Mirandes win at 2.94, a draw at 3.16, and a Real Valladolid win at 2.59. The probabilities are distributed as: Mirandes - 32.62%, draw - 30.35%, Real Valladolid - 37.03%. Real Valladolid has a slight edge, but the percentage difference is not significant, promising a closely contested match. In addition to the main outcome, there are options for totals and both teams to score, but the main interest lies in the strength distribution for a win.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Mirandes lost to Cadiz 0-2 (13.03.2026), were defeated by Burgos 0-2 (07.03.2026), and narrowly lost to AD Ceuta 0-1 (01.03.2026). Real Valladolid, in their last three outings, played at home against Leganes with a score of 3-2 (14.03.2026), drew away with Malaga 3-3 (07.03.2026), and defeated Huesca 1-0 (28.02.2026). Over their last five games, Mirandes averaged 46.6% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per match. Real Valladolid, in the same period, showed 42.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 5, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Mirandes has averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over the last five matches, with an average total of exactly 2 goals per match. Real Valladolid's figures are much higher: 2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, with an average total of 4.4 goals. For over 2.5 goals, Mirandes has 1 out of 5, while Real Valladolid has 4 out of 5. By halves, Mirandes has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, while Real Valladolid has 3 out of 5 in the first and 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals, Mirandes most frequently scores between the 16th and 90th minute (25% for each of the four intervals), while Real Valladolid often scores in the first 15 minutes (36%). Mirandes most frequently concedes in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Real Valladolid concedes most often at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 50%). Considering Real Valladolid's high scoring rate, their regular over 2.5 goals, and Mirandes' not-so-reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.14 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Mirandes averages 5 corners per match, while Real Valladolid averages 4.2. In the last five matches, Mirandes had 2 out of 5 games go over 9.5 corners, while Real Valladolid had 1 out of 5. Among the options for total corners, there is a bet for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.06, under 9.5 at 1.63. For the outcome on corners, the odds are equal: both Mirandes and Real Valladolid are at 2.04. Given the average figures of both teams and the infrequent over 9.5 totals, betting on under 9.5 corners seems more logical, though a riskier bet on over 9.5 might interest those looking for higher odds.