Prediction for match Mirassol — Ceara, 24.11.2025

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Ceara

In Brazil's Serie A, Mirassol will face Ceara on November 24. Mirassol is favored to win with odds of 1.71, a draw is priced at 3.70, and a Ceara victory is at 5.35. The probability of outcomes is: Mirassol - 56.12%, draw - 25.94%, Ceara - 17.94%. According to the odds, Mirassol enters the match as the favorite, while a draw is considered less likely than one-third of the time. Ceara is seen as the underdog by the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Mirassol shows 56.4% possession, averages 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 2 offsides per match. During the same period, Ceara has 39.8% possession, receives 3.4 yellows, fouls 13.8 times, and is caught offside 2.6 times. Mirassol's last three matches: 2-1 against Palmeiras (09.11.2025), 0-1 against Fluminense (06.11.2025), 0-0 against Botafogo (01.11.2025). Ceara played 1-2 against Internacional (21.11.2025), 1-0 against Corinthians (09.11.2025), 1-1 against Fortaleza (06.11.2025). In their head-to-head on 23.07.2025, Ceara lost 0-2 to Mirassol, with over 2.5 goals scored. Over a five-match span, Mirassol averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Ceara averages 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Mirassol has gone over 2.5 goals three times, while Ceara has done so only once. By halves, Mirassol has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, but all five games had under 1.5 in the second half. Ceara never had over 1.5 in the first half, and only once in the second. On average: Mirassol - 2.0 goals per game, Ceara - 1.8. Mirassol most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (57%), Ceara between 76-90 (40%). In terms of goals conceded: Mirassol most often concedes between 16-30 minutes (67%), while Ceara concedes half of their goals in two intervals - 31-45 and 76-90. The overall trend suggests that Mirassol consistently creates chances, while Ceara rarely plays high-scoring games, especially in the first half. The most logical bet appears to be on under 2.5 goals at 1.71, considering both teams' average total goals do not exceed 2.0 and 1.8 respectively, and the under has hit 4 out of 5 for Ceara and 2 out of 5 for Mirassol.

Corners Statistics

Mirassol averages 4.4 corners per match, Ceara 3.8. In two out of five matches for both teams, the total corners exceeded 9.5. Odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.66, under 9.5 is at 2.14. Mirassol is favored to win the corners battle with odds of 1.38. Based on averages and frequencies, betting on over 9.5 total corners seems risky, as only 2 out of 5 times did the teams surpass this mark. A more cautious approach would be to consider under 11 total corners at 1.55 or focus on Mirassol's individual stats, who consistently delivers around 4-5 corners per game.