Prediction for match Mirassol — Santos

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Brazilian Serie A match between Mirassol and Santos on March 11, 2026, the odds are as follows: Mirassol win at 2.05, draw at 3.54, and Santos win at 3.68. Looking at the probabilities, Mirassol is given a 46.81% chance, a draw is at 27.11%, and Santos is at 26.08%. These numbers suggest that Mirassol is the favorite, but the margin between the teams is not significant, promising a competitive game. The betting line also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for an interesting prediction on the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Mirassol has been gaining momentum, though not always securing victories. In their last three games, Mirassol played as follows: February 15, 2026 - Mirassol vs Portuguesa - 1:2, February 11, 2026 - Mirassol vs Cruzeiro - 2:2, February 8, 2026 - Capivariano vs Mirassol - 1:0. In the last three matches, Santos showed the following: February 26, 2026 - Santos vs Vasco da Gama - 2:1, February 22, 2026 - Novorizontino vs Santos - 2:1, February 15, 2026 - Santos vs Velo Clube - 6:0. On average over five matches, Mirassol has 66.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Santos has 56.6% possession, 1.6 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 20, 2025, Santos and Mirassol drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games. Mirassol averages 2.8 total goals over five games, while Santos averages 3.6. Mirassol scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6 per game, Santos scores 2.4 and concedes 1.2. In a five-match series, Mirassol went over 2.5 total goals three times and under twice. Santos went over 2.5 total goals all five times. By halves, Mirassol went over 1.5 in the first half three out of five times, and twice in the second half. Santos went over 1.5 in the first half four out of five times, and twice in the second. Mirassol most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (43%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th (43%). Santos most often scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (31% each) and concedes most frequently from the 16th to 30th minute (40%). Given both teams' strong over profile and Santos' consistent scoring, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Corner Bets

On average, Mirassol takes 5.4 corners per match, Santos 3.6. In the last five games, Mirassol didn't surpass a total of over 9.5 corners, while Santos exceeded this total three times. Among available corner totals, there's a line for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.54, under 9.5 at 2.25. In corner outcomes, Mirassol is favored with odds of 1.65. Considering the average activity in corner kicks and recent match statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but a moderate number of corners is also possible.