Prediction for match Mlada Boleslav — Jablonec

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

For the match between Mlada Boleslav and Jablonec on 28.02.2026 in the Czech First Liga, bookmakers offer the following main odds: a win for Jablonec is priced at 2.40, Mlada Boleslav at 2.86, and a draw at 3.28. In terms of probability percentages: Jablonec has a 38.90% chance of winning, Mlada Boleslav 32.64%, and a draw 28.46%. The odds and percentages suggest that Jablonec is the more likely winner, though the difference between the teams is not significant, indicating a competitive match. Goal total options are also widely available: over 2.5 goals is at 1.83, under 2.5 at 1.93, both teams to score: yes - 1.63, no - 2.14. This reflects an expectation of moderate scoring and a certain likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Mlada Boleslav has an average possession percentage of 54, with 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Jablonec has lower possession at 42.8, with 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Mlada Boleslav's last three matches: 22.02.2026 - Baník Ostrava - Mlada Boleslav - 0-0, 15.02.2026 - Mlada Boleslav - Teplice - 0-0, 07.02.2026 - Slavia Prague - Mlada Boleslav - 4-0. Jablonec's last three matches: 21.02.2026 - Jablonec - Karviná - 1-0, 15.02.2026 - Pardubice - Jablonec - 0-2, 07.02.2026 - Jablonec - Slovácko - 0-0. In their head-to-head on 28.09.2025, Jablonec defeated Mlada Boleslav 2-0. It's also notable that in the last five matches, Mlada Boleslav had two goalless draws, while Jablonec secured two clean-sheet victories. The teams are close in terms of yellow cards and fouls, but Mlada Boleslav controls the ball more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Mlada Boleslav has an average total goals of 2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Jablonec has an average total of 2.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. Mlada Boleslav had 2 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, while Jablonec had only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have 1 out of 5, and in the second half, both have 2 out of 5. This indicates that over-goals are not prominent, and under-goals occur more frequently. Mlada Boleslav most often scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Jablonec scores most in the 46-60 minute interval (33%). Conceding-wise, Mlada Boleslav mostly concedes in the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each), and Jablonec in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (40% each). Overall, both teams do not show high scoring rates, with Mlada Boleslav having low total and individual goal stats. Jablonec has a higher attacking potential, but it's not enough to guarantee a high-scoring game. The most logical bet seems to be on under 2.5 goals at 1.93, considering the frequent unders and average goal stats of both teams.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Mlada Boleslav averages 3.6 corners per game, while Jablonec averages 4.6. In the last 5 games, both teams have had 3 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 total corners. For a total corners bet of 9.5, there are both outcomes: over 9.5 corners is at 1.55, under 9.5 at 2.20. Based on average values, the teams combined deliver around 8-9 corners per game, but the frequency of over 9.5 is quite high. For corners outcome, Mlada Boleslav is favored with odds of 2.02. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given the regular occurrence of this outcome in recent matches of both teams. It's also worth noting the individual stats: Mlada Boleslav delivers slightly fewer corners than Jablonec, but the difference is not critical, and both teams are capable of maintaining a high pace in this component.