Prediction for match Modena — Carrarese, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On 14th February 2026, a Serie B match between Modena and Carrarese will take place. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Modena is priced at 1.70, a draw at 3.32, and a win for Carrarese at 5.63. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Modena - 55.13%, draw - 28.23%, Carrarese - 16.65%. Thus, bookmakers give a noticeable advantage to Modena, considering them the main contender for victory in the upcoming match. Options for totals and both teams to score have higher odds, but based on the overall statistics and probabilities, a bet on Modena's victory seems the most justified.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Modena has an average ball possession of 46.6%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 16.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Carrarese, over the same period, holds 50.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.4 times per match. In Modena's last three games: 10.02.2026 Venezia - Modena 0-2, 07.02.2026 Modena - Sampdoria 1-2, 31.01.2026 Empoli - Modena 0-0. Carrarese's last three matches: 10.02.2026 Padova - Carrarese 1-0, 07.02.2026 Carrarese - Südtirol 0-0, 31.01.2026 Venezia - Carrarese 2-1. The last head-to-head encounter between the teams was on 01.10.2025: Carrarese - Modena 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Modena's last five matches, the total over 2.5 was recorded once, and under 2.5 four times. For Carrarese, the total over 2.5 happened three times, and under twice. On average: Modena scores 1.4 goals per match over five games, Carrarese - 2 goals. Modena scores 1 and concedes 0.4, Carrarese scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8. By halves, Modena had a first-half total over 1.5 twice and a second-half once in five matches. Carrarese had a first-half total over 1.5 once and a second-half twice. In terms of goal intervals, Modena most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (100%), while Carrarese scores between 16-30 minutes (43%). In terms of conceding, Modena most often allows goals between 16-30 minutes (50%), and Carrarese evenly across three different intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes. Despite Carrarese's occasional high-scoring games, Modena has a pronounced defensive profile, further supporting the bet on their victory.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Modena averages 4.4 corners over five matches, Carrarese - 5.4. For the frequency of total over 9.5 corners, Modena had only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Carrarese had 3 out of 5. Considering the total corners line of 9.5, there is a pair: over 9.5 at 1.91, under 9.5 at 1.74. For the outcome on corners, Modena is the favorite with odds of 1.37. In this pairing, expecting 9-10 corners with a slight edge in activity for Carrarese is logical. A bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, considering the average figures and Carrarese's frequency of exceeding this total.